Thursday Football Tips: Key battle can deliver 9/1 winner

Referee Alejandro Hernandez Hernandez
Alejandro Hernandez Hernandez loves a card and takes charge on Thursday

A 9/1 card double for a match featuring La Liga's dirtiest team and its highest-carding referee features in Thursday's football props column...

  • Lee v Correia battle should draw fouls

  • La Liga's top-carding ref involved

  • 9/1 Bet Builder double produced

We've got the most-carded team in La Liga involved in this match, Mallorca, as well as the highest-carding referee, so no guesses which markets I'll be focusing on.

Leg 1: Thierry Correia to be shown a card

Specifically, let's focus in on what promises to be an intriguing battle down the Mallorca left where Lee Kang-in is set to go up against Valencia's Thierry Correia.

Both men feature in the top 20 of La Liga's most-fouled players, while Korean Lee is one of the top dribblers with only the Real Madrid pair of Vinicius Junior and Rodrygo having more dribbles per game.

Correia therefore looks in for a tough night and with five cards in his 21 starts in the league this season, he makes the Bet Builder slip.

Leg 2: Lee Kang-in to be shown a card

Lee's card figures are even better - nine in 31 Primera Division starts - and the fact that he's a former Valencia player only heightens expectations.

The referee is the wild Alejandro Hernandez Hernandez; he is averaging more than six yellows per game this season and has also produced eight reds in his 17 matches.

The game itself should be competitive.

Mallorca still have an outside chance of qualifying for Europe, while Valencia are battling against the drop and are just two points outside the relegation zone following Getafe's win on Wednesday night.

The card double pays just shy of 9/110.00.

Other options include a card for Mallorca midfielder Inigo Ruiz de Galaretta, who has been booked in five of his last seven games.

He'll have to deal with the runs of Andre Almeida, who also features among the top 25 dribblers in the Spanish top flight.

Under 2.5 goals also looks a pretty solid play, albeit the bookies are all over it and offer little.

It has landed in a whopping 71% of Mallorca's games so far and 54% of Valencia's.

Back Lee Kang-in & Thierry Correia both to be shown a card @


Column P/L 2022/23

Staked: 309pts
Returned: 350.56pts
P/L: +41.56pts

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