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Almeria have won 7/13 at home
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Valencia have lost 7 away games in a row
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Back Almeria to win
Almeria v Valencia
Sunday 17:30 (Live on LaLigaTV)
In Spain yesterday, Espanyol netted a late consolation to lose 1-2 at home to Athletic and pay out our BTTS bet.
We're spending Easter Sunday in Spain too. There's a relegation six-pointer in Almeria this afternoon and we like the big price on the outsiders.
Nineteenth-placed Almeria, who were promoted last season, have done all of their best work on home turf to this point. They are winless in 13 on the road - where one of the few games in which they avoided defeat was a 2-2 draw at Valencia - but at the Power Horse Stadium they are W7-D2-L5.
All five defeats have come against teams currently in the top half of La Liga. Hosting teams alongside Valencia in the wrong half, Rubi's men are W4-D1-L0.
Valencia are W1-D3-L9 on the road this season and showing few signs of improvement. They've lost five in a row under current boss Voro - and seven straight in total. Los Che haven't even scored in the last six. Since the start of the campaign, they are W0-D2-L3 visiting bottom-half outfits. At a juicy price we'll take a punt of them leaving with nothing again today.