Dundee v Raith Rovers
Tuesday 11 April, 19:45
Barcelona let us down big-time last night, as they were held to a goalless draw by Catalan neighbours Girona. Gavi did his bit with an early foul, so we'll let him off. We'll take that one on the chin, and head to Scotland for a Championship clash between promotion-chasing Dundee and Raith Rovers.
Dundee are top of the division, but there's no room to ease off, with only one automatic promotion spot up for grabs. The Dark Blues are only ahead of Queen's Park on goal difference, and just three ahead of Partick Thistle. They have put together a five-match unbeaten run in the league, but if you go back further, the form is a bit more patchy. Gary Bowyer's men have won just five of their last 13 in the second tier.
Raith Rovers need to be almost flawless between now and the end of the season to keep alive the dying embers of their promotion push, so they have to go for the win here. The Kirkcaldy side have won just four of their last 17 league matches.
I fancy goals here, with Over 2.5 Goals trading at 1.8910/11. Raith have seen six of their last ten league games feature three goals or more, and if you look at Dundee's home matches, six of the last seven have seen an overs bet land. Dundee have rattled in 54 goals in 31 games, and no-one in the league has scored more goals at home.