Dinamo Zagreb v Red Bull Salzburg
Tuesday 11 October, 20:00
Live on BT Sport
The hosts' forward Mislav Orsic looks the man to focus on in this game.
He's been Dinamo's biggest goal threat so far in the competition, having more shots than any other team-mate (7) and scoring both goals.
Those goals have taken his career Champions League tally to six in nine games, which is none too shabby for a side continually expected to struggle at this level.
Overall, Orsic has 28 goals in 67 appearances across all European competitions.
On paper, this is Dinamo's easiest group game - Chelsea and Milan are the other sides the group.
It is a rematch of last Wednesday's game in Austria, one the Zagreb side lost 1-0, being denied a late equaliser by a marginal offside decision.
They should be confident or reversing that result given their impressive home record.
In Europe, they've lost just two of their last 19 at the Stadion Maksimir and while there are plenty of games in the qualifying rounds included in that statistic, it also features victories over Tottenham, Sevilla and, last month, Chelsea.
Salzburg are 12th of 32 sides in the competition for shots conceded so there's plenty to encourage Orsic and co.
The Bet Builder which loooks worthwhile taking is Orsic to score and Dinamo to avoid defeat (back Dinamo-Draw in the double-chance market).
This pays around 100/30.
I did consider adding to this via the shots markets but it was a struggle to find value.
Orsic looks short - 1/2 for 3+ shots - while there are also short prices about Salzburg's leading shot-takers, Noah Okafor and Benjamin Sesko, both of whom may struggle to replicate last week's high shot tallies in this stadium.
Cards may be a better option.
Referee Tobias Stieler has shown 4+ cards in 10 of his last 12 European appointments which is encouraging.
The two sides are both in top nine for tackles and top 12 for fouls committed.
For those wanting to play in the 'shown a card' market, the two best options look to be the right-backs, both of whom are at 23/10.
The hosts' Sadegh Moharrami has been carded in two of his four Champions League starts this term and also has two more bookings when appearing as a sub.
For Salzburg, Bosnian Amar Dedic has four cards in 12 games this season and will have the lively Croatian Orsic in his areas of the pitch.
More Champions League tips: We preview every game!
Column P/L 2022/23
Staked: 110pts
Returned: 130.94pts
P/L: +20.94pts