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Coritiba v Bahia: Follow data for 11/2 Bet Builder

Coritiba star Robson
Coritiba's Robson has been carded in eight of his last 13 games

A data-based 11/2 Bet Builder is the call of our football props column in Brazil's Serie A on Thursday night...

  • Robson carded in 8 of last 13 games

  • Ademir 2+ shots in 7 of last 8

  • Back three-legged Bet Builder at 11/2

Coritiba v Bahia
Thursday 14 September, 23:59

We're sticking in Brazil on Thursday where a high-carding referee and Serie A's dirtiest team can produce cards.

Leg 1: Coritiba over 2.5 cards

Coritiba have picked up the most cards in the Brazilian top flight this season and look good for over 2.5 cards here - that's landed in 13 of their last 16.

The appointment of ref Wagner do Nascimento Magalhaes should help that one along as he is averaging 6.3 yellows per game so far across his 10 league matches.

Throw in the fact this is a huge game for these two bottom-five sides - time is running out as they battle against relegation - and I certainly expect cards.

Leg 2: Robson to be shown a card

With this in mind, it's also worth adding Coritiba's most-carded player, Robson, to our Bet Builder.

He's 9/52.80 for another card in this game, a price which is somewhat surprising given he's been booked in eight of his last 13 starts.

The right-midfielder/winger has landed 2+ fouls in 11 of his last 14 but is just 3/101.30 for a repeat in that market, so the cards price does look much more attractive.

Leg 3: Ademir 2+ shots

To complete our treble, it's off to the shots markets.

Despite their lowly position of 16th in the league table, Bahia have had the eighth-most shots in the division. Here they face a side who have conceded more shots than all bar six of their rivals.

So, who can we expect shots from on the Bahia side of things?

Well, Ademir is the obvious choice for 2+ shots.

The right-sided forward has landed this bet in seven of eight games since returning to the starting XI in July.

He should be able to manage this again against the league's basement side.

The three-legged Bet Builder pays 11/26.50.

Back Coritiba over 2.5 cards, Robson to be shown a card & Ademir 2+ shots @ 11/26.50

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Column P/L 2023/24

Staked: 39pts
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P/L: +5.77pts

2022/23 P/L: +68.69pts

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