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March has had 3+ shots in his last 8 games
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Bowen 1+ fouls in 8 of last 9 in league
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Bet Builder double pays around 16/5
There's no doubt the data has let this column down this week but let's keep the faith for Saturday's game at the Amex Stadium.
A couple of prices stand out from a value viewpoint given the numbers.
First up, Solly March 3+ shots is a bet which has been worth following in recent weeks - he's landed it in his last eight appearances.
The Brighton man spoke earlier this season about needing to add goal output to his game and that's been reflected in his shots figures.
In the past two seasons, he's managed 22 and 20 shots in almost exactly the same amount of game time he's had so far in 2022/23. However, this term he's already hit 50 (and scored a career-best five goals).
He gets the nod to repeat against a West Ham side who have won a league-low six points away from home.
The second leg of our Bet Builder concerns West Ham's Jarrod Bowen.
He's not a player you'd immediately think of in the fouls market but the fact is that since the World Cup break, he's committed at least one foul in nine of his last 11 starts. In the Premier League, it's eight out of nine.
Here, he may well have to track back to help nullify the threat of the in-form Kaoru Mitoma.
Therefore 8/11 about Bowen extending his fouls run looks a good price.
Together, the two bets pay around 16/5.
For those seeking something bigger, more stats worth noting include Moises Caicedo having had 2+ fouls in 15 of 24 games this season. He's 8/13 to repeat.
In the shots on target market, March is at 8/11 to land one, something he's managed in seven of his last 10 in the league, while Mitoma has done this in eight of his last nine, although he's only available at 2/5.
Premier League: 10 weekend bets relating to the Opta stats
Recommended bets
Back Solly March 3+ shots and Jarrod Bowen 1+ foul at 4.216/5Column P/L 2022/23
Staked: 232pts
Returned: 271.58pts
P/L: +39.58pts