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Flamengo the best away side in Brazil Serie A
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Back in Brazil for Thursday with another decent looking tie between Cruzeiro and Flamengo in Belo Horizonte.
Hosts Cruzeiro are in 13th and are neither involved in any qualification or relegation places - sitting a point out of the final Copa Sudamericana place and four points above the relegation zone.
Flamengo are fifth but it's tight in the Copa Libertadores race where just six points seperated second and ninth at the start of this matchweek.
Ex-Brazil boss Tite takes charge of the league's best away side against a Cruzeiro side with just three wins and six goals at home all season - there's good reason for the visitors being 11/102.11 favourites.
Leg 1: Flamengo to win
We've got to go for an away win here, even though it's something of a risk with both of these sides loving the draw at the moment.
Flamengo have the most points and have scored the most goals on the road this season - but their defence has been borderline shocking as despite all those points and goals they've got a -1 goal difference.
Cruzeiro are almost the exact opposite in their home form, with just six home goals a shocking return - even if they've only conceded nine.
With the new manager bounce from Tite to help though I think their scoring power can win the day for Flamengo, so we'll back the away win at 6/52.20.
Leg 2: Bruno Henrique 2+ fouls
In terms of player props, goals may be hard to come by but there's usually plenty of fouls to go around so we'll look at a couple of players who like to put it about a bit.
We also need some value though, and Bruno Henrique offers a bit of that at 8/111.73 for 2+ fouls on the Brazilian.
Henrique has given away seven fouls across his last four games - with fouls in three of those - and with Cruzeiro a tough nut to crack at home he's a decent shout here.
Leg 3: Neris 2+ fouls
And for Cruzeiro, defender Neris is a foul machine after giving away 32 in 16 matches this season.
He gave away five (5) in his last game, and that's just one of seven games this season where he's given away multiple fouls.
Facing a Flamengo side that knows how to attack and score goals, Neris will have plenty to do, so 8/131.61 on another 2+ fouls here is fair enough.
Recommended bets
Back Flamengo to beat Cruzeiro, Neris & Henrique 2+ fouls @ 11/26.50COLUMN P/L 2023/24
Staked: 67ptsReturned: 74.42pts
P/L: +7.42pts
2022/23 P/L: +68.69pts