Tuesday Football Tips: Pulga looks good value to score in crunch clash

• Top-scorer Pulga has scored in 9 of his last 19

• Ceara lead Serie B for corners, winning 6+ in 10 of last 12

• Back Bet Builder double at 7/18.00

Botafogo v Ceara
Tuesday 12 November, 00:30 (Wed GMT)

This is a massive game for Ceara as they look to return to the Brazilian top flight.

They have just three games left to play in the Serie B season and currently sit three points outside the top four. A win here would take them into one of those promotion slots.

They take on a side in need of points at the other end of the table. The Ribeirao Preto-based Botafogo are four points outside the relegation zone so know victory in this contest could be enough to secure safety.

So, what are the betting angles?

Leg 1: Erick Pulga to score

Well, Ceara, winners of four of their last five games, are the league's joint top scorers and clearly need a goal or two here. They also boast the individual top scorer and I'm a tad surprised to see Erick Pulga at 11/43.75 to score at anytime.

The left-sided attacker has been banging in the goals in the second half of the season and has now scored in nine of his last 19 Serie B matches (10 goals in that spell, 12 for the season as a whole).

One of his goals came in a 4-1 win over Botafogo - not to be confused with the Rio-based club of the same name who currently lead Serie A - in the reverse fixture.

Leg 2: 6+ away corners

There's also a corner angle here, potentially.

Ceara lead the division when it comes to corners won - they average 6.7 per game which is way above the league average of 5.2.

They've had at least six corners in 10 of their last 12 matches so 10/111.91 about it happening again is tempting.

I guess the problem would be if they claim an early lead and ty to see out the game with a defensive performance.

However, they have the second-worst defence in terms of goals conceded in the top 12, so such a ploy could be risky business.

There's also Botafogo's need for goals to consider - there's every chance the hosts score to make this tricky for the visitors - so all things considered I'm prepared to put 6+ away corners into a double with the Pulga anytime scorer bet to produce a 7/18.00 shot.

Jones Knows' Notebook: Back Fulham at 50s!