Premier League Odds: Arsenal clear favourites for title after Liverpool lose

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We had more late drama in the Premier League this weekend and we also have a new team at the top of the table, and at the top of the betting to win the title. Mike Norman updates all the significant Betfair markets after Matchday 7...

  • Arsenal 1/12.00 for title afer Liverpool lose three in a week

  • Man City shorten to 4/15.00 after narrow win at Brentford

  • Home form keeping United's European aspirations alive

  • Forest appear in Relegation market after winless run

  • Safe Sub is here for the 2025-26 season - read all about it!


Matchday 7 Results

  • Bournemouth 3-1 Fulham
  • Leeds 1-2 Tottenham
  • Arsenal 2-0 West Ham
  • Man United 2-0 Sunderland
  • Chelsea 2-1 Liverpool
  • Aston Villa 2-1 Burnley
  • Everton 2-1 Crystal Palace
  • Newcastle 2-0 Nottingham Forest
  • Wolves 1-1 Brighton
  • Brentford 0-1 Man City

Latets Standings

Teams P W D L GF GA PTS
1 Arsenal 38 26 7 5 71 27 85
2 Man City 38 23 9 6 77 35 78
3 Man Utd 38 20 11 7 69 50 71
4 Aston Villa 38 19 8 11 56 49 65
5 Liverpool 38 17 9 12 63 53 60
6 Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 58 54 57
7 Sunderland 38 14 12 12 42 48 54
8 Brighton 38 14 11 13 52 46 53
9 Brentford 38 14 11 13 55 52 53
10 Chelsea 38 14 10 14 58 52 52
11 Fulham 38 15 7 16 47 51 52
12 Newcastle 38 14 7 17 53 55 49
13 Everton 38 13 10 15 47 50 49
14 Leeds 38 11 14 13 49 56 47
15 Crystal Palace 38 11 12 15 41 51 45
16 Nottm Forest 38 11 11 16 48 51 44
17 Spurs 38 10 11 17 48 57 41
18 West Ham 38 10 9 19 46 65 39
19 Burnley 38 4 10 24 38 75 22
20 Wolves 38 3 11 24 27 68 20


Premier League Winner

Arsenal have gone clear favourites at 1/12.00 to win the Premier League title after they ended the weekend top of the table, one point ahead of 11/43.75 second favourites Liverpool.

The Gunners recorded a routine 2-0 win over West Ham on Saturday afternoon thanks to goals from Declan Rice and Bukayo Saka, and then sat back and watched title rivals Liverpool lose 2-1 to Chelsea (25/126.00 for the title) in dramatic fashion as they conceded a stoppage time goal for the second week running.

Manchester City remain third favourites and have shortened to 4/15.00 for the title after a 1-0 win over Brentford on Sunday afternoon. The Citizens remain just outside of the top four but they're now just three points off the lead having been as many as eight points behind Liverpool after five games.

Tottenham's strong start to the season under new boss Thomas Frank continued with a 2-1 win at Leeds on Saturday afternoon, and they are the fifth favourites at 50/151.00 to win the Premier League title.

Team Current Odds Pre-Season Odds Sportsbook High Sportsbook Low
Arsenal 1/12.00 9/43.25 5/23.50 1/12.00
Liverpool 11/43.75 7/42.75 11/43.75 10/111.91
Man City 4/15.00 7/24.50 8/19.00 3/14.00
Chelsea 25/126.00 15/28.50 25/126.00 15/28.50
Tottenham 40/141.00 40/141.00 50/151.00 33/134.00

*Please Note: Pre-Season, Sportsbook High and Sportsbook Low Odds date back to Friday 15 August, the day the new Premier League season commenced. Any fluctuation in odds prior to 15 August are not recorded.


Premier League Top 4 Finish

Are Bournemouth in the Top 4 Finish race? The market says yes after the came from behind to beat Fulham 3-1 on Friday night, and after starting the season at 33/134.00 to finish in the top four they're now as short as 7/18.00.

The Cherries ended the weekend fourth in the table, just two points behind leaders Arsenal and one point ahead of Man City in fifth.

Chelsea, Tottenham, Newcastle and Manchester United all strengthened their claims as the weekend with wins over Liverpool, Leeds, Nottingham Forest and Sunderland respectively, while Man City's win over Brentford on Super Sunday means they're now back into 2/151.13 to finish in the top four having drifted to a high of 2/51.40 earlier in the season.

Team Current Odds Pre-Season Odds Sportsbook High Sportsbook Low
Man City 2/151.13 2/111.18 2/51.40 2/151.13
Chelsea 1/12.00 8/151.53 1/12.00 8/151.53
Tottenham 11/43.75 5/16.00 5/16.00 5/23.50
Newcastle 4/15.00 3/14.00 4/15.00 3/14.00
Man United 5/16.00 3/14.00 5/16.00 3/14.00
Bournemouth 7/18.00 33/134.00 33/134.00 7/18.00

*Please Note: Pre-Season, Sportsbook High and Sportsbook Low Odds date back to Friday 15 August, the day the new Premier League season commenced. Any fluctuation in odds prior to 15 August are not recorded.


Premier League Top 6 Finish

After being the big movers in the wrong direction two weeks ago, Aston Villa are the big movers in the right direction to record a Top 6 Finish after recording back-to-back league wins. After beating Fulham 3-1 last weekend Unai Emery's men beat Burnley 2-1 on Sunday to move up to 13th in the table, and they're now 4/15.00 to finish in the top six having been as big as 6/17.00.

Crystal Palace's long unbeaten run came to an end when they lost 2-1 at Everton but they're still 9/43.25 to finish in the top six this season having been 17/29.50 at the start of the campaign, while Brighton can be backed at 11/43.75 following their 1-1 draw at Wolves.

Team Current Odds Pre-Season Odds Sportsbook High Sportsbook Low
Chelsea 3/101.30 1/91.11 3/101.30 1/91.11
Tottenham 1/12.00 13/82.63 13/82.63 1/12.00
Newcastle 11/102.11 10/111.91 11/102.11 10/111.91
Man United 6/42.50 4/51.80 6/42.50 4/51.80
Bournemouth 2/13.00 9/110.00 9/110.00 2/13.00
Crystal Palace 9/43.25 17/29.50 17/29.50 9/43.25
Brighton 11/43.75 9/25.50 5/16.00 11/43.75
Aston Villa 4/15.00 5/42.25 6/17.00 5/42.25

*Please Note: Pre-Season, Sportsbook High and Sportsbook Low Odds date back to Friday 15 August, the day the new Premier League season commenced. Any fluctuation in odds prior to 15 August are not recorded.


Premier League Relegation

Nottingham Forest are the new entrants into the Relegation market as they are now just 11/43.75 to go down this season after being as big as 8/19.00 before a ball was kicked this term.

Ange Postecoglou's men have dropped to 17th in the table following a 2-0 defeat at Newcastle on Sunday and the Forest boss has admitted that he expects to have talks with the owner after starting his tenure at the City Ground with seven games without a win. 

Other than Forest there hasn't been much change in the market with all of Burnley, Sunderland, West Ham, Leeds and Brentford losing in Matchday 7. Rock bottom Wolves did record their second successive draw however after a 1-1 stalemate at home to Brighton.

Team Current Odds Pre-Season Odds Sportsbook High Sportsbook Low
Burnley 3/101.30 1/41.25 2/51.40 2/91.22
Wolves 8/151.53 3/14.00 3/14.00 1/21.50
Sunderland 6/42.50 7/201.35 6/42.50 7/201.35
West Ham 6/42.50 5/16.00 5/16.00 11/82.38
Nottm Forest 11/43.75 8/19.00 8/19.00 11/43.75
Leeds 3/14.00 11/102.11 3/14.00 11/102.11
Brentford 7/24.50 3/14.00 7/24.50 9/43.25

*Please Note: Pre-Season, Sportsbook High and Sportsbook Low Odds date back to Friday 15 August, the day the new Premier League season commenced. Any fluctuation in odds prior to 15 August are not recorded.


Premier League Top Goalscorer

At the time of writing the Top Goalscorer market is still suspended but we can certainly expect Erling Haaland to be a tad shorter after he scored another goal this weekend while his main market rivals failed to find the back of the net.

And we can also expect Antoine Semenyo to be much shorter when the market reappears after his brace on Friday night took his tally to six for the season, three behind Haaland.

EDIT: Top Goalscorer market is live again and Current Odds below are correct as of 2pm Monday 6 October

Team Current Odds Pre-Season Odds Sportsbook High Sportsbook Low
Haaland (9) 2/91.22 6/42.50 6/42.50 2/91.22
Gyokeres (3) 14/115.00 6/17.00 14/115.00 6/17.00
Semenyo (6) 17/118.00 150/1151.00 150/1151.00 17/118.00
Salah (2) 19/120.00 13/27.50 19/120.00 11/26.50
Ekitike (3) 22/123.00 17/118.00 22/123.00 14/115.00
Pedro (2) 22/123.00 14/115.00 25/126.00 14/115.00
Isak (0) 25/126.00 6/17.00 25/126.00 6/17.00
Woltemade (3) 35/136.00 N/A 66/167.00 35/136.00
Sesko (2) 45/146.00 25/126.00 66/167.00 25/126.00
Richarlison (3) 60/161.00 125/1126.00 125/1126.00 40/141.00

*Please Note: Pre-Season, Sportsbook High and Sportsbook Low Odds date back to Friday 15 August, the day the new Premier League season commenced. Any fluctuation in odds prior to 15 August are not recorded.


Now read more Football tips and previews here.


Mike Norman

Sport fanatic with a particular love of football, golf, snooker and horse-racing

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