Tipman has studied the cards stats ahead of Sunday's North London Derby between Tottenham Hotspur and Arsenal recommending a booking double that has been boosted to 12/1 on Betfair...
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Bissouma and Havertz to be booked in NLD
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Leg 1 - Back Yves Bissouma to be booked
Yves Bissouma looks set to keep his place in the Tottenham side following their 4-0 away defeat at St James' Park two weeks ago.
Bisssouma has featured in 24 league games for Ange Postecoglou's side so far this season and has received an astonishing 11 cards, nine yellow and two red cards. That is an average of 0.54 cards per game which puts him in the 96th percentile for cards per minute in the Premier League this season. This is not surprising given he has averaged a card every 3.5 games in the Premier League since joining Brighton from Lille in 2018.
Bissouma averages 1.52 fouls a game in the league this season and receives 1.38 showing he is always in the thick of the action in the middle of the park for Spurs. This is a huge game for both sides, with Arsenal chasing the title and Tottenham chasing the top 4, there is all to play for and plenty at stake. Arsenal who are the pre-match favourites will likely have the bulk of possession and Bissouma will have his work cut out limiting balls into the Arsenal forward line.
Bissouma was booked last time the sides met in the reverse fixture that finished 2-2.
Leg 2 - Back Kai Havertz to be booked
Arsenal continue to prove that you can sustain a very strong title challenge without a proper centre forward, as Kai Havertz is likely to play his 34th league game for Arteta's side as the number 9. Havertz added two more goals to his tally in their midweek 5-0 thrashing over London rivals Chelsea that takes his goal involvements to 16 in the Premier League this season.
Havertz has received nine yellow cards in his 34 league appearances so far this season, averaging 0.36 cards per game which puts him in the 86th percentile in the league for cards per minute. Havertz commits an average of 1.74 fouls per game and is fouled himself 1.46 whilst competing in over 17 duels.
Havertz will have to be at his best against the very physical centre halves of Tottenham who do concede plenty of chances. We feel the card bet is the correct play here for value.
Havertz was also booked last time these sides met.
The match official - Michael Oliver
The man in the middle of Sundays huge North London derby is Michael Oliver.
Oliver has averaged 4.4 cards per game so far this season and has produced five red cards in just 21 Premier League games. The sides here average 3.84 cards per game but given how much is at stake here for both sides and that it is a hostile derby, we expect a higher amount of fouls and cards shown.
The Double provides plenty of value in our opinion based on expected outcome. This Booking Double has had a boost from 10/111.00 to 12/113.00
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