Rock bottom Sheffield United host 17th placed Burnley on the final day of the Premier League season and Dan Fitch has his money on a win for the visitors...
"Burnley have won six of their eleven away games in 2021, which includes their last two away matches against Wolves and Fulham."
Sheffield United 2.942/1 v Burnley 2.486/4; The Draw 3.814/5
Sunday 23 May, 16:00
Live on BT Sport 3
Changes to come at Sheffield United this summer
Sheffield United will surely be glad to get this final game of the season over and done with, as they look to rebuild following their relegation.
The Blades started the season so poorly, that they never stood a chance of staying up. Sheffield United played 17 Premier League matches (D2 L15), before they finally claimed a win.
With Chris Wilder having departed in March, the club must decide whether interim manager Paul Heckingbottom will continue in charge next season. Heckingbottom has picked up a couple of notable wins, but after such an overall disastrous campaign, perhaps a fresh voice makes the most sense for the club, as they look towards winning promotion from the Championship.
There will no doubt be plenty of comings and goings on the playing staff this summer. Heckingbottom currently has a number of injuries in the squad, with Jack O'Connell, Than Ampadu, Oliver Burke, Oliver McBurnie and Billy Sharp are all out, while George Baldock is a doubt.
Clarets cannot lose Dyche
Burnley are in the lowest position that they can be in the Premier League without being relegated and will need a win to finish any higher.
Currently 17th, the Clarets could finish as high as 15th with a victory on the final day. For a club with the financial restrictions that Burnley face, the difference in prize money between each league position is not insignificant.
Wherever they finish, Burnley will be happy to have merely survived relegation. Their transfer business this season, essentially consisted of the purchase of Dale Stephens from Brighton, who has only played ten games for the club. It's hard to think of another manager than Sean Dyche who could have kept them up and retaining the manager at the club, is the most important bit of business for Burnley this summer.
Dyche is currently without the injured Nick Pope, Phil Bardsley, Kevin Long, Stephens and Robbie Brady.
Burnley showing form on the road
Burnley are the 2.486/4 favourites, with Sheffield United at 2.942/1 and the draw at 3.814/5.
The visitors have lost their last two games, but against in-form sides such as Leeds and Liverpool. Burnley have won six of their eleven away games in 2021, which includes their last two away matches against Wolves and Fulham.
Against a team that have lost 29 of their 37 matches this season, there could be value in Burnley's price. You can back Burnley cautiously in the Draw No Bet market and still get odds of 1.84/5.
Low scoring match looks likely
It's hard to see this being a game with lots of goals. Sheffield United have scored less than any team this season, with just 19 goals, while Burnley are the third lowest total with 33 from 37 games.
It's a surprise then to see under 2.5 goals available as the outsider at 2.1211/10. It's a bet that's landed in five of Sheffield United's last six games.
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Dan Fitch 2020/21 Season P/L
Staked: 442.00 pts
Returned: 451.85 pts
P/L: +9.85 pts