Watford to win six-pointer
Watford v Norwich City
Friday, 20:00
Vicarage Road is the setting for a clash between two teams desperate for points, with both Watford and Norwich earning important results last weekend. Claudio Ranieri's hosts are yet to earn a clean sheet all season, but they won the reverse fixture and will hope the visit of opponents with just three goals on the road will be the night they finally break that duck and earn a crucial three points.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Correct Score Prediction - Back the 2-0 @ 11.5021/2
Ferguson to give Everton new manager bounce
Everton v Aston Villa
Saturday, 12:30
Duncan Ferguson's last interim Everton spell brought an upturn in fortunes, and the Scot now has another chance to impress after Rafa Benitez's dismissal. Visitors Aston Villa were good value for their point against Manchester United last weekend, and may be able to up Philippe Coutinho's minutes, but Infogol's model favours the home side in what could well be a close contest.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Correct Score Prediction - Back the 2-1 @ 11.5021/2
Brentford to complete double over Wolves
Brentford v Wolverhampton Wanderers
Saturday, 15:00
Brentford have had a difficult time of late, averaging 2.78 xGA across their last two on the road, but a return to the Brentford Community Stadium can be a welcome one. Thomas Frank's side won the reverse fixture at Molineux, riding their luck a little to keep a clean sheet, and Infogol backs the Bees' 1.06 xGA home average to help them earn a first ever Premier League double.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Correct Score Prediction - Back the 2-0 @ 17.0016/1
Leeds to earn a third straight league win
Leeds United v Newcastle United
Saturday, 15:00
Leeds have got their attacking mojo back, picking up league wins over Brentford and West Ham in the process, and three more points at home to struggling Newcastle can lift them to mid-table. The visitors will hope former Leeds striker Chris Wood can get up and running for them, but an away average of 0.82 xGF will continue to worry Eddie Howe as he attempts to lead his side to safety.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Correct Score Prediction - Back the 2-1 @ 9.6017/2
Manchester United to steal march on European rivals
Manchester United v West Ham United
Saturday, 15:00
After both these sides dropped points last weekend, the hosts have a chance to complete a precious double over one of their rivals for a top-four spot. The 20 road points earned by David Moyes' side looks not entirely sustainable, though Ralf Rangnick's hosts haven't been entirely convincing at home, and Infogol backs the home side to claim a narrow but important victory.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Correct Score Prediction - Back the 2-1 @ 9.6017/2
Man City's winning run to continue
Southampton v Manchester City
Saturday, 17:30
An average of just 0.80 xGA away from home gives Manchester City far and away the best record in that department, and it's easy to see why their title win looks like a case of when rather than if. Southampton have lost just once at St Mary's in the league this season, and may feel equipped to deal with a side who they held to a goalless draw in September, but the visitors should still have enough in reserve.
BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Correct Score Prediction - Back the 0-3 @ 9.4017/2
Arsenal to revive top-four push
Arsenal v Burnley
Sunday, 14:00
A defeat against Manchester City and a number of postponements have left Arsenal outside the top four, but they remain very much in contention for Champions League football. They can strengthen their bid with victory over a Burnley side ill-equipped to deal with the Gunners' 2.07 home xGF average thanks to a 2.05 xGA record on the road which needs tightening if they want to survive.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Correct Score Prediction - Back the 2-1 @ 9.208/1
Liverpool to edge past Palace
Crystal Palace v Liverpool
Sunday, 14:00
Liverpool won't be expecting a repeat of their 7-0 win at Palace last season, with the London side showing some home resilience under Patrick Vieira, but Infogol still backs an away win here. The visitors' 2.63 xGF average on the road is the best away return in the league, and they're still expected to just about have enough despite missing some key men at the Africa Cup of Nations.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Correct Score Prediction - Back the 1-2 @ 9.008/1
Leicester to take the points against Brighton
Leicester City v Brighton & Hove Albion
Sunday, 14:00
Brighton's recent surge in form has kept them ahead of their weekend opponents, but the Foxes have a chance to show their quality after recent postponements left them with games in hand. Brendan Rodgers' hosts have been defensively inconsistent at home, but victories over Newcastle and Liverpool in their last two league games at the King Power gives them a platform on which they can build against the Seagulls.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Correct Score Prediction - Back the 2-0 @ 14.5027/2 or 2-1 @ 11.0010/1
Chelsea to silence Conte's Spurs once more
Chelsea v Tottenham Hotspur
Sunday, 16:30
After two shut-out victories in the Carabao Cup, Chelsea have an opportunity to pile more misery on their former manager Antonio Conte. Spurs' 1.33 xGF per game on the road isn't exactly thrilling, though much of that came under Conte's predecessor, and Infogol's model backs the home side to earn a third derby win against the same opponents over the course of January.
BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Correct Score Prediction - Back the 2-1 @ 9.008/1
Recommended bets
Watford v Norwich City: Back the 2-0 @ 11.5021/2