Premier League Tipsheet: Six of the best bets for Saturday from Evens to 4/1

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History making? No worries, mate.

Ste Tudor highlights where the goals and three points will likely be found to get this weekend started...


Luton v Tottenham (12:30) - History in the making

Should Ange Postecoglou's side score more than once at Kenilworth Road it will mean a Premier League manager has overseen 2+ goals in his first eight games in charge. That's unprecedented, and not in the way Jurgen Klopp interprets the word.

It's never happened before.

It might just happen too, with the Hatters conceding an average of two per 90 and the visitors racking up a ridiculous shot-count in 2023/24. An attempt on goal every four and a half minutes is testament to the Australian's attacking mandate and how quickly his team have adapted to it.

Son Heung-min meanwhile just loves taking on promoted sides, the Korean striker previously scoring 21 in 31 against newbies.

Back Son to score @ 1/12.00

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Burnley v Chelsea (15:00) - Road to heal

A desperately needed first win of the campaign for the Clarets, and a crisis-averting victory at Craven Cottage, has both teams going into this feeling much better about themselves.

Chelsea's xG continues to damn misfiring forwards but an impressive hour from Armando Broja last Monday bodes well, as too does Mykhaylo Mudryk breaking his duck.

Prior to this duo getting on the score-sheet v Fulham the Blues had failed to convert any of their previous 47 attempts on goal.

It should also be noted that Maurico Pochettino's side have kept two consecutive clean sheets away from Stamford Bridge.

As for Burnley, Lyle Foster stands out as a threat, his confidence high from three goals this term. The South African's one-to-one tuitions from Craig Bellamy are paying off handsomely.

A draw is fancied here, simply because it would be an acceptable result for both on their roads to recovery.

Back the draw and over 2.5 cards for the visitors @ 5.67467/100

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Everton v Bournemouth (15:00) - Trend to end

Oh Everton, where do we start?

Just when the Toffees finally resolved a long-standing striker issue they began shipping in goals at the back. Just when it appeared they were belatedly getting their season on track following a tremendous display at Brentford they promptly lost at home to Luton.

In their seemingly eternal bid to escape the bottom six, they are tethered by a bungee cord.

An xG that is nearly the equal of Manchester City's and 15.4 shots per 90 of course offer hope, but at what point does that flip to an outright negative? Certainly, their four home games to date have been almost carbon copies of each other, with Sean Dyche's men peppering their opponent's goal only to lose in dispiriting fashion.


Perhaps though, this Saturday is when that trend ends? Because for all the theorizing that Bournemouth's players are better acclimatizing to Andoni Iraola's ways, results continue to say otherwise.

Still winless in seven, the Cherries are conceding 17 shots per 90.

Roll the dice on Everton and over 1.5 @ 7/52.40

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Fulham v Sheffield United (15:00) - Cottagers least bad

A low-scoring affair is anticipated at Craven Cottage with both teams amassing the fewest shot-creating actions in the top-flight. Combined, they have scored the same number as Brentford who reside three points off the drop-zone.

At the other end, a disparity becomes obvious, with the Blades facing a whopping 156 shots, an avalanche of opportunities that has inevitably resulted in them conceding 2.7 goals per game.

With 12 of their 19 against coming after the break a narrative easily forms as to what we can expect in West London.

Back Fulham to win the second half and to win match by exactly one goal @ 5.47447/100

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Man United v Brentford (15:00) - Crisis semi-averted

No team have dropped more points from winning positions as the Bees this term, a problem Manchester United would love to have. They've been breached first in five of their seven league outings, at great cost.

With the Reds conceding 2+ goals in 60% of their fixtures to date it has placed Erik Ten Hag in the firing line, second favourite to be the next Premier League manager to leave his job, and another defeat here will surely lead to that conversation loudening.

It's hardly ideal therefore that it's Brentford they face on this day of reckoning, a team that has bested them in three of their last four meetings. Countering this, the Bees are winless in five and have just one clean sheet to their name all season.

Expect a reaction from the hosts. There has to be. And expect their new striker to feature prominently, Rasmus Hojlund seemingly relishing the responsibility of being their main man.

Back Hojlund to have 2+ shots on target @ 5/42.25

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Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest (17:30) - Eagles one-hit wonders

Eberechi Eze is a seismic loss for the Eagles, their brightest talent conjuring up the bulk of their chances this season. His injury will have seriously dampened spirits that were high from last Saturday's triumph at Old Trafford.

Palace's lack of creative outlets elsewhere is further evidenced by having only three different goal-scorers this term, one of whom is a centre-back, and to exacerbate matters Roy Hodgson's team are typically slow starters too.

In their seven games to date they have only scored once in the first half.

Forest by contrast have a welcome habit of notching early, with three goals in 2023/24 converted inside the opening five minutes, and it's the away side who are tipped to prevail.

In Awoniyi, Gibbs-White and Hudson-Odoi they possess difference-makers whereas the hosts do not.

Back Forest to be ahead after 30 minutes @ 4/15.00

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Recommended bets

Back Everton and over 1.5 @ 7/52.40

Back Hojlund to have 2+ shots on target @ 5/42.25

Back Forest to be ahead at 30 mins @ 4/15.00

Stephen Tudor

Stephen Tudor has written extensively about football and sports betting for well over a decade.

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