English Premier League Tips

Premier League Tuesday Tipsheet: Back goals galore on Tyneside

Football odds compiler Mark Stinchcombe
Stinch is back with his best bets for the Premier League on Tuesday

Odds compiler and football tipster Mark Stinchcombe shares his picks and insights for every Premier League game on Tuesday night of Matchday 14...

  • Bournemouth games the best for goals

  • Hungry Haaland still City's main threat

  • Newcastle and Tottenham to serve up a treat

  • Safe Sub is here for the 2025-26 season - read all about it!


Bournemouth v Everton Tip - Back Over 2.5 goals

Bournemouth v Everton
Tuesday, 19:30

Live on Sky Sports

Seven of the last eight Bournemouth games have seen over 2.5 goals winners- meaning the strike rate for their matches now stands at 69% for the season. And it's no surprise, because when you get goals in Bournemouth games it tends to rain! No other sides matches have seen more goals than the Cherries 44 this season - an average of 3.38 per-game - which equates to odds of 1/21.50 for three or more goals for an average game.

They host an Everton side whose matches have only seen a 39% strike rate for Over 2.5 goals - the lowest in the division, alongside Arsenal and Sunderland. But we have just seen Bournemouth go to Sunderland and produce a five goal match, so I didn't think we should really worry too much about the opposition.

However, Everton are underperforming in-front of goal and overperforming in defence by a combined seven goals based on expected goals, meaning we should have seen them involved in some higher scoring games. Indeed, eight of their 13 games this season have seen more than 2.5 xG, a 62% strike rate.


Fulham v Man City Tip - Back Haaland & City

Fulham v Man City
Tuesday, 19:30

Live on Sky Sports

He drew a blank on Saturday and Erling Haaland was surprisingly kept quiet by a porous Leeds backline, with him restricted to just one shot that didn't come until the eighty-seventh minute. This ultimately still may have worked against Leeds, with Phil Foden possibly afforded more space as a result and capitalising with two goals himself. However, I'm not about to abandon the Norweigan scoring robot anytime soon.

Overall he has 19 goals in just 17 starts across the Premier League and Champions League and is still scoring a huge proportion of Man City's goals at 52% - the joint most across Europe's top five leagues. He has six goals in six games versus Fulham and should be backed to score again. Man City have an even better record having won their last 18 matches against Fulham in all competitions, so why not combine the two.

Mike Norman is also backing two Haaland-based bets in his match preview of Fulham v Man City.


Newcastle v Tottenham Tip - Back goals, goals, goals

Newcastle v Tottenham
Tuesday, 20:15

Live on Sky Sports

This should be a really entertaining fixture on Tuesday night given both teams' attacks and defences. There have been Over 2.5 goals in Newcastle's last six Premier League matches and in six of the last seven for Tottenham. The Toon Army should be really licking their lips at the prospect of facing Spurs right now, with the away side having lost five of their last seven games across all competitions conceding 16 goals in the process. There have been some rough away days in recent times here as well with Newcastle having won 4-0 and 6-1.

Overall this season it means 69% of Tottenham's league matches have seen three or more goals this season - the joint highest in the Premier League.


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Mark Stinchcombe

Mark Stinchcombe has a wealth of betting experience and worked for over 10 years as a trader for bookmakers

Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.

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