Premier League Saturday Tipsheet: Back Goals Galore in a 8/1 acca

• Goals expected at Arsenal, Burnley, Wolves and Newcastle

• Back Bournemouth and Everton to avoid defeat

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Man Utd v Tottenham Tip - Back both teams to contribute

Man Utd v Tottenham
Saturday, 12:30
Live on TNT Sports

Man Utd are back! Three wins in a row under Michael Carrick, get the contract out, put it on the table. Let him sign it, let him write whatever numbers he wants to put on. Only 12 points off the top, get that 50/151.00 for the title backed. In all seriousness, after throwing away a two goal lead at home to Fulham in the final five minutes, it was very Ferguson-esque to then win the game in the ninety-third minute.

Since Amorim left, goals have been a theme with 19 seen in their five games (3.80 per-game) and defence is still an issue with only three clean sheets all season.

Tottenham showed their steel fighting back from 2-0 down a grab a draw against Man City and goals have also been a theme for them all season. 67% of their Premier League games have seen Over 2.5 goals and that increases to 75% away from home. They've kept just three clean sheets in their last 15 games.

Arsenal v Sunderland Tip - Both sides good for goals

Arsenal v Sunderland
Saturday, 15:00

It felt like a pivotal weekend last time out as Arsenal won their first game in four with a convincing 4-0 victory over Leeds, while Man City dropped points after taking a 2-0 lead. It means the Gunners are now six points clear at the top with 14 games remaining.

Sunderland also bounced back with a 3-0 win over Burnley, after only winning one of their previous seven. Both sides' games are also seeing goals as well. 16 of Arsenal's last 23 games across all competitions have seen Over 2.5 goals (70%) and Sunderland's last four have seen winners, with the feeling there are more to come, given nine of their last 14 have seen three or more goals based on expected goals. The reverse fixture finished 2-2 at the Stadium of Light.

Bournemouth v Aston Villa Tip - Visitors too short to win

Bournemouth v Aston Villa
Saturday, 15:00

Aston Villa have only won two of their last six Premier League games and they feel a little short here as 7/52.40 favourites. Bournemouth have been good recently, with three wins in an unbeaten four games and given Villa were 7/42.75 here last season, I think it makes sense to get the home team onside.

The Cherries have scored at least two goals in five of their last six matches and new £25M Brazilian wonderkid Rayan has hit the ground running with an assist off the bench on his debut. We can back Bournemouth +0.25 on the Asian Handicap, knowing we'll make money if they avoid defeat.

Burnley v West Ham Tip - Back goals at Turf Moor

Burnley v West Ham
Saturday, 15:00

Relegation six pointer at Turf Moor or is it too late for Burnley? After defeat at Sunderland on Monday night, they remain 11 points from safety having only collected 15 points from their 24 games after no wins in their last 15 Premier League games.

West Ham would have halved their six point deficit to Nottingham Forest had they held on to their 2-0 lead at Stamford Bridge but it was too much for them as they succumbed to defeat. However, at least they are scoring goals, with 10 now in their last six games, contributing to eight of their last nine going Over 2.5 goals, including all of their last six.

Burnley's recent games have also featured goals with eight of their last 14 seeing three or more goals. If the reverse fixture is anything to go with West Ham winning 3-2, I'm hoping there will be more goals than the odds suggest.

Fulham v Everton Tip - Back underrated Everton

Fulham v Everton
Saturday, 15:00

Ninth hosts tenth as Fulham host Everton at Craven Cottage. With both on 34 points and both on -1 goal difference, there is barely anything to split these two, yet Fulham are 21/202.05 favourites. When you've got two teams who are of equal ability, the home side should be 6/52.20 to win, so Fulham look a little short here.

Everton have been excellent of late with just one defeat in their last eight games in 90 minutes which should come as no surprise given they possess the fifth best defence in the Premier League. The underlying data also shows Everton sitting above Fulham based on expected points so the bet has to be Draw or Everton double chance.

Wolves v Chelsea Tip - Back more Rosenior goals

Wolves v Chelsea
Saturday, 15:00

With only one win in 24 games this season, the writing has been on the walls for Wolves for pretty much the entirety of the campaign and that writing spells relegation. After last weekends latest defeat, they are now 18 points adrift of safety and likely preparing for life in the Championship and another push at a promotion season.

New Chelsea boss Liam Rosensior tenure of eight games has seen goals galore with a huge 29 scored at an average of 3.63 per-game! And this tends to be a goal heavy match-up with the last five Premier League meetings seeing a whopping 24 goals (4.80 per-game).

Newcastle v Brentford Tip - Back goals, goals, goals

Newcastle v Brentford
Saturday, 17:30
Live on Sky Sports

I'm hoping Saturday night football provides fireworks between these two sides. Twelve of Newcastle's last 17 Premier League games have seen Over 2.5 goals (71%) and across all competitions, 23 of their last 34 matches further back have seen three or more goals (68%).

For Brentford, life on the road hasn't been too kind defensively, outside of teams in the relegation zone they've conceded two or more in nine of 10 away games. However, they rank fifth for expected goals created which is great for a goal-based bet. 67% of the Toon Army's home games in the league have seen Over 2.5 goals win and confidence of another one is high here.

Stinch's Acca - Back my best bets in a 4-fold at 8/1

Now read Mike Norman's Premier League MD25 preview