Premier League Saturday Tipsheet: Back a four-fold acca at 7/1

• Back wins for Bournemouth and Arsenal

• Black Cats to avoid defeat against Seagulls

• UCL factor means unders backed at Chelsea and West Ham

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Burnley v Bournemouth Tip - Back an away win

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Saturday, 15:00

It's now 19 of their last 20 Premier League matches that Burnley have failed to win, including five defeats in their last seven. At Turf Moor it doesn't get any better with eight defeats in their last 12 games, including the infamous loss against League One Mansfield in the FA Cup.

It's an easy decision to oppose the home side and back visitors Bournemouth. After a sticky mid-season slump, Bournemouth are unbeaten in their last 10 games and are just eight points off fifth place. They've won five of eight games against the current bottom five and can add another one to the list at the price.

Find out why Mark O'Haire expects entertainment at Turf Moor on Saturday

Sunderland v Brighton Tip - Seagulls are too short

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Saturday, 15:00

With only three wins in their last 16 matches, Brighton look very unattractive as 6/52.20 favourites as they make their way to the Stadium of Light to face Sunderland. The Mackems sit three points above the visitors and boast the sixth best home record in the Premier League including just two defeats in 14 games all season here.

Brighton, on the other hand, have the fifth worst away record having won just three of 14. Combined it would mean Sunderland avoiding defeat in 23 of 28 matches and that's the bet here.

Arsenal v Everton Tip - Back Gunners to get job done

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Saturday, 17:30
Live on Sky Sports

Arsenal, at 1/31.33, come into this seven points clear of Manchester City at the top of the Premier League table with eight games to go, albeit with Pep Guardiola's side having a game in hand. With this game sandwiched between Champions League quarter-final games against Bayer Leverkusen, I think Mikel Arteta will have one eye on the second leg and be managing his squad accordingly. After all, Arsenal's last three wins have all been by a single goal with the feeling very much being 'just get the job done'.

They can be backed to win by one goal at 5/23.50 but I think that's too precise, and instead a low-scoring victory looks the way to play it. A significant 66% of Everton matches have finished Under 2.5 goals this season - the highest rate in the league - and by extension 86% have finished Under 3.5 goals. It's a 70% strike rate for Under 3.5 goals in Arsenal matches, for a side who have won 10 of their last 15 league games.

Chelsea v Newcastle Tip - Chance a lower scoring game

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Saturday, 17:30
Live on Sky Sports

Both sides will have more than one eye on their second legs in the quarter-finals of the Champions League next midweek, with Chelsea hosting PSG at 5-2 down and Newcastle travelling to Barcelona at 1-1. Eddie Howe labelled the first leg against Barcelona the 'biggest game in club's history', so I expect fair bit of rotation here which may mean it's not quite as high tempo a match as the odds suggest.

Normally in the Premier League we talk about Over/Under 2.5 goals as the most competitive line but here it's pushing the 3.5 line and I think the market is not taking into the account the schedule. After all, backing Under 3.5 goals has won in four of the last five meetings between these two at Stamford Bridge.

West Ham v Man City Tip - Back a low scoring match

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Saturday, 20:00
Live on TNT Sports

If Arsenal get the job done against Everton, come kick-off Man City could be 10 points behind and facing a rejuvenated West Ham side with just two defeats in their last 11 games. The same applies here as it does to the other English sides in the Champions League and City will surely have one eye on the return leg with Real Madrid.

West Ham would snap your hand off if you offered them a point right now, so it could be a case of a long game of attack v defence and another low scoring game. Thirteen of Man City's last 15 Premier League games have finished Under 3.5 goals (87%) and 12 of West Ham's last 17 have seen Under 3.5 goals (71%). Combined, that's 25 of the previous 32 games that have paid out as winners (78%) for backers of Under 3.5 goals.

Stinch's Acca - Back my best bets in a 4-fold at 7/1

With Betfair offering punters the chance to Bet £10 and Get £10 on football accas and bet builders this week, it could pay to back all four selections together.

Now read Mike Norman's MD30 preview