Premier League Predictions: City can add to Reds misery

• Premier Leauge heads into gameweek 10
• Using xG stats Infogol's Jake Osgathorpe tells us who is hot and who is cold
• Manchester City value at Anfield?
• Goals on the cards at Old Trafford

HOT trends?

City to add to Liverpool misery

Manchester City look relentless right now, but they do face what on paper should be their toughest test of the season to date this weekend when travelling to Anfield.

Pep's side head into the game boasting a stellar underlying process, especially away from home, where they have averaged 2.32 xGF and 0.86 xGA per game.

The Citizens have won the xG battle in all nine league games by an average of +1.7 xGD per game, highlighting their dominance on a regular basis.

I expect that dominance to continue this weekend against a Liverpool team who are well off the levels we have seen in recent years.

In fact, this Reds team reminds me of the side who struggled during the behind-closed-doors season for so long, and during that time City went to Anfield and hammered Liverpool 4-1.

I wouldn't be surprised, given the way the Reds are defending, to see a similar scoreline here, with Jurgen Klopp's men shipping big chances left and right at the moment.

All of that means the 1.88 about a City win should be snapped up. Interestigly that price has drifted since Liverpool thumped Rangers 7-1 in the Champions League, which I find odd given the standard of the Scots.

Spurs happy at home

Tottenham got a good win at Brighton last weekend, and return home to face Everton. Antonio Conte's side really enjoy playing in front of their home fans.

They have won four from four this season, and since Conte took over, their home process reads 2.10 xGF and 0.88 xGA per game.

Those levels are only bettered by Man City, Liverpool and Arsenal in that time.

Everton aren't a great travelling team, and have proven to be very vulnerable defensively on the road this season, shipping 2.09 xGA per away game.

A strong attack taking on a weak defence should see Spurs win comfortably, and the 1.88 about Tottenham -1.0 on the Asian Handicap appeals.

COLD trends?

Defensive issues still a concern for Man Utd

Despite winning five of their last six, I still have concerns around Manchester United's defence as they welcome a potent Newcastle team this Sunday.

Erik ten Hag's side have allowed an average of 1.62 xGA per game, which ranks them as only the twelfth best defence in the Premier League.

That has to change if they are to sustain a long-term challenge for the top four, and an in form Newcastle attack will fancy their chances of causing issues at Old Trafford.

The Magpies have looked excellent this term, and away from home they boast a really impressive process of 1.63 xGF and 1.30 xGA per game.

Attacking football should be in order then as these two meet, meaning Over 2.75 Asian Goals looks a solid proposition at 1.90.

Lack of creation a problem at Villa

Aston Villa have really struggled at the start of this season, mainly in attack.

Defensively they have allowed just 1.30 xGA per game, which ranks as the sixth best defence in the league.

Going forward, Steven Gerrard's side have averaged just 1.09 xGF per, making them the fourth worst attacking team in the top flight.

That spells trouble as they welcome a Chelsea team who have looked especially solid defensively since Graham Potter's arrival.

Across five games, the Blues have allowed 0.65 xGA per game, and their attacking numbers are trending in a positive direction.

The 1.85 price about a Chelsea win to add to Villa's misery is a bet to me, while chancing Under 2.5 Goals at 1.95 also makes sense given the defensive strengths of both teams.

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