Premier League Opta Stats: Back 80/1 tip and 5/1 Chelsea v Arsenal Bet Builder

Crystal Palace v Fulham

Palace are 7/5 so take the 9/4 on Mateta

The Opta Stat:

"Jean-Philippe Mateta has scored 14 goals in his last 12 Premier League home games for Crystal Palace. Overall, he's scored 19 home goals in the competition, with only Wilfried Zaha (32) netting more at Selhurst Park for the Eagles."

The Betfair Bet:

Back Jean Phillipe-Mateta to score anytime @ 9/43.25

West Ham United v Everton

Seems like a must win for Lopetegui

The Opta Stat:

"West Ham have conceded at least once in each of their last 14 Premier League home games, the longest ongoing run of any side, and the Hammers' longest ever in the competition. They last failed to keep a clean sheet in more consecutive top-flight home games between December 1964 and October 1965 (16)."

The Betfair Bet:

Back Everton to score the first goal @ 2/13.00

Wolverhampton Wanderers v Southampton

Saints belief will be high

The Opta Stat:

"Only Brentford (74) have faced more shots on target than Wolves in the Premier League this season (67). Only in 2011-12 (7) have they averaged more shots on target faced per game in a single campaign in the competition than their 6.7 so far this term."

The Betfair Bet:

Back Southampton to have 7 or more shots on target @ 3/14.00

Brighton & Hove Albion v Manchester City

Seagulls can soar on Saturday

The Opta Stat:

"Manchester City have conceded the first goal in five of their 10 Premier League games so far this season - it's the first time they've done so in as many as half of their opening 10 games in a campaign since 2006-07 (also 5). Indeed, only Leicester City (55%) have converted a higher share of their big chances in the Premier League this season than Brighton (46% - 12/26). Only five sides have had more corners than Brighton in the league this season and they have managed 36 in their last five home games, hitting exactly nine in 3 of their last five at home."

The Betfair Bet:

Back Brighton to score in each half and 4+ Brighton corners in each half @ 80/181.00

Liverpool v Aston Villa

Mo deserves a new contract

The Opta Stat:

"No player has been involved in more Premier League goals so far this season than Liverpool's Mohamed Salah (12 - 7 goals, 5 assists). The Egyptian has also had the most touches in the opposition box this term (96), while of players to have had 20+ shots, no-one has hit a higher percentage of them on target (67% - 20/30)."

The Betfair Bet:

Manchester United v Leicester City

Back Leicester to score at Old Trafford

The Opta Stat:

"Facundo Buonanotte has had 3+ shots in each of his last four Premier League games for Leicester City - he's also created 2+ chances in each of his last three. Indeed, Leicester are one of two teams - along with Man City - to have scored in all 10 of their Premier League games so far this season. Only in 2018-19 (first 11) and their 2015-16 title winning campaign (17) have they had a longer streak from the start of a season in the competition."

The Betfair Bet:

Back Facundo Buonanotte to score or assist @ 11/43.75

Nottingham Forest v Newcastle United

Chris Wood's on fire

The Opta Stat:

"Chris Wood has scored eight goals from just 21 shots for Nottingham Forest in the Premier League this season - no player to have had at least 20 attempts has a better conversion rate than the New Zealander (38.1%) in the competition this term. On the other hand, Newcastle's Alexander Isak has scored three goals in his two Premier League games against Nottingham Forest, only netting more against Tottenham and West Ham (5 each). He's looking to score in three or more consecutive Premier League appearances for the fourth time since the start of last season, which would be the most different such runs of any player in that time."

The Betfair Bet:

Tottenham Hotspur v Ipswich Town

Will Spurs hand another 1-0 head-start?

The Opta Stat:

"Tottenham have conceded the first goal in each of their last four Premier League home games, but have come back to win the last three. No team has ever conceded first but gone on to win four consecutive home games in the competition before."

The Betfair Bet:

Back Ipswich/Spurs in the HT/FT market @ 17/118.00

Chelsea v Arsenal

England's Lions to settle this one

The Opta Stat:

"No player has been involved in more Premier League goals this season than Chelsea's Cole Palmer (7 goals, 5 assists), while he's also created the most chances from open play this term (24). His first ever Premier League goal at Stamford Bridge came in this exact fixture last season - since then (and including that goal) he's scored more home goals than any other player (21). On the other side, Arsenal's Bukayo Saka has provided more assists than any other player in the Premier League this season (7). He's also either scored (1) or assisted (2) a goal in each of his last three away games against Chelsea in the Premier League, with Sergio Agüero (2013 to 2017) and Javier Hernandez (2012 to 2018) the only visiting players to do so in four consecutive appearances."

The Betfair Bet:

Opta Stats P/L 2024-25 -