Premier League Opta Stats: 10 bets to back from 11/10 to 8/1

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Almiron has had a hand in eight goals in last eight PL games (7 goals, 1 assist)

The Premier League makes it's long awaited return on Boxing Day following the conclusion of the World Cup, and Alex Boyes has dug into the Opta Stats to pick out a bet from each game. We finished the World Cup with a 21/1 winner in this column, so let's kick on once again...


Brentford v Tottenham Hotspur

Bees to sting Conte's return

The Opta Stat:

"Tottenham have conceded 11 goals in their last five Premier League games, as many as they had in their previous 14 combined. They've conceded at least twice in each of these five matches - only once have they conceded 2+ goals in six consecutive Premier League games, doing so in April/May 2003."

The Betfair Bet:


Crystal Palace v Fulham

Mission Target: Hit Mitrovic.

The Opta Stat:

"Fulham have scored more cross-assisted goals than any other side in the Premier League this season (9). Seven of the Cottagers' 24 goals so far have been headed, the highest share of any side in the division (29.2%). Indeed, Fulham's Aleksandar Mitrovic has scored in each of his last three Premier League London derby matches, having scored in just one of his first 17 such games"

The Betfair Bet:


Everton v Wolverhampton Wanderers

Lopetegui's tight beginning

The Opta Stat:

Everton have won just one of their last seven league games (D1 L5), failing to score in five of their last six. Indeed, the Toffees have failed to score in 13 Premier League games since Frank Lampard's first game in charge in February, with only opponents Wolves (14) doing so more in that time. However, Wolves won this exact fixture 1-0 in March last season."

The Betfair Bet:


Leicester City v Newcastle United

Barnes x Almiron

The Opta Stat:

"Leicester's Harvey Barnes has scored six Premier League goals this season (including four in his last five games), only netting more in 2020-21 (9). He's scored in all five of Leicester's Premier League wins this season, one of just two players to score in every one of his side's wins this term (along with Leeds' Rodrigo). On the other hand, Miguel Almirón has been involved in eight goals in his last eight Premier League games for Newcastle, with the Paraguayan scoring seven and assisting Joe Willock's winner against Chelsea last time out."

The Betfair Bet:


Southampton v Brighton & Hove Albion

Belgian Red Devil to down Saints

The Opta Stat:

"No player has scored more away goals in the Premier League this season than Brighton's Leandro Trossard (5), while no Seagulls player has ever scored more than five on the road in a single Premier League campaign. Indeed, the home side has never won in 10 previous Premier League games between Southampton and Brighton (D6 L4) - no fixture has been played as often without the home side ever winning (Bournemouth v Watford also 10)."

The Betfair Bet:


Aston Villa v Liverpool

Jurgen is coming to town

The Opta Stat:

"Liverpool have won their last five Premier League Boxing Day games by an aggregate score of 15-0, including all four games under Jürgen Klopp. Indeed, only Mauricio Pochettino (5/5) has a better 100% Premier League win rate on Boxing Day than the German (4/4)."

The Betfair Bet:


Arsenal v West Ham United

Eddie the Eagle

The Opta Stat:

"Arsenal striker Eddie Nketiah has scored 10 goals in his last 10 starts in all competitions at the Emirates, notching his 10 goals from just 15 shots on target. Before this run, Nketiah had netted three goals in his first 10 starts for Arsenal at the Emirates."

The Betfair Bet:


Chelsea v Bournemouth

Sterling is on the money

The Opta Stat:

"Chelsea's Raheem Sterling has scored nine goals in his nine Premier League appearances against Bournemouth, including his first ever hat-trick in the competition back in October 2015. Against no side has he scored more often in league football."

The Betfair Bet:


Manchester United v Nottingham Forest

Ronaldo-less Man Utd kick on

The Opta Stat:

"Manchester United have won four of their last five Premier League home games (D1), keeping a clean sheet in each of the last three. They last went four consecutive home league games without conceding
between February-June 2020. Forest, meanwhile, have failed to score in their last five Premier League away games."

The Betfair Bet:


Leeds United v Manchester City

Goals Goals Goals

The Opta Stat:

"Manchester City have scored more goals than any other Premier League side this season (40), while with 14 goals conceded their games have also seen more goals than any other sides' (54). Meanwhile, Leeds' last four Premier League games have produced a total of 22 goals, at an average of 5.5 per game."

The Betfair Bet:


Completely £2 Free Bet on Boxing Day

Betfair are giving punters a completely £2 free bet on Boxing Day on multis or Bet Builders. Why not try the one below, which is a combination of some of the above bets?

Back Over 4.5 goals at Elland Road, Over 1.5 Brentford goals v Spurs, & Nketiah and Sterling to score anytime @

57/1

Recommended bets

Back Harvey Barnes & Miguel Almiron to score or assist @ 8.07/1

Opta Stats P/L

Recommended Bet Of The Week (since MD7)

Staked: 10 pts

Returned: 10.0 pts

P/L: 0.0 pts

Football... Only Bettor - Boxing Day Special

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