English Premier League

Newcastle v Arsenal: Gunners to win to nil begging to be backed at 13/5

Mikel Arteta can lead Arsenal to another clean sheet
Arsenal boss Mikel Arteta

Sky Sports' Lewis Jones - aka Jones Knows - is backing the Arsenal machine to grind out another win to nil on the road at St James' Park...

  • Saliba is back so back an Arsenal clean sheet

  • Gunners too big at 2.021/1 to ignore

  • BTTS 'no' has landed in 11 of the last 12 meetings


Newcastle v Arsenal SuperBoost

You can now back Thomas Partey to commit 1 or more fouls against Newcastle at 1/12.00 - boosted up from 1/51.20!

Partey and his Arsenal teammates travel to Newcastle for the early kick-off on Saturday (12.30pm), and it is set to be a raucous encounter following their 1-0 defeat in the fixture last season.

Only Kai Havertz (16) has committed more fouls in the Premier League this season than Thomas Partey's 14, and he has committed one or more fouls in seven of his nine Premier League games this season.

In fact, he's managed to commit two or more in six of those games, which include two in each of his last two vs Bournemouth and Liverpool.

English Premier League - Top 3 Fouls Won

Player Team Apps Fouls Won Fouls Won/90*
Bruno Guimarães Newcastle 15 56 3.8
James Maddison Tottenham 14 35 3.3
Anthony Gordon Newcastle 14 34 2.8
Ryan Yates Nottm Forest 15 32 2.6
Tyler Dibling Southampton 14 31 3.3
Cole Palmer Chelsea 14 31 2.3
John McGinn Aston Villa 13 30 3
Youri Tielemans Aston Villa 15 29 2
Bukayo Saka Arsenal 13 27 2.3
Joël Veltman Brighton 11 27 2.5
Ryan Gravenberch Liverpool 14 26 1.9
Matheus Cunha Wolves 14 26 2
Kyle Walker-Peters Southampton 13 26 2
Destiny Udogie Tottenham 14 25 1.9
Evanilson Bournemouth 13 25 2.3
Elliot Anderson Nottm Forest 14 24 2.6
Jordan Ayew Crystal Palace 14 23 3.4
Ollie Watkins Aston Villa 15 21 1.7
Mohamed Salah Liverpool 14 21 1.5
Iliman Ndiaye Everton 14 21 1.8
Flynn Downes Southampton 13 21 1.7
Mateus Fernandes Southampton 14 20 1.7
Abdul Fatawu Leicester 11 20 3.1
Alejandro Garnacho Man Utd 15 19 1.8
Rico Lewis Man City 14 19 1.7
James Justin Leicester 13 19 1.5
Georginio Rutter Brighton 13 19 2.2
Eberechi Eze Crystal Palace 12 19 1.7
Yoane Wissa Brentford 12 19 1.9
Ola Aina Nottm Forest 15 18 1.3
Joelinton Newcastle 15 18 1.3
Ismaïla Sarr Crystal Palace 15 18 2
Liam Delap Ipswich 14 18 1.6
Omari Hutchinson Ipswich 13 18 1.4
Ezri Konsa Aston Villa 13 18 1.5
Facundo Buonanotte Leicester 12 18 1.8
Bruno Fernandes Man Utd 15 17 1.2
Bryan Mbeumo Brentford 15 17 1.1
Moisés Caicedo Chelsea 14 17 1.2
Dejan Kulusevski Tottenham 14 17 1.4
Adama Traoré Fulham 13 17 2
Antoine Semenyo Bournemouth 13 17 1.3
Sandro Tonali Newcastle 13 17 2.3
Dominic Solanke Tottenham 11 17 1.6
Tino Livramento Newcastle 15 16 1.3
Morgan Rogers Aston Villa 15 16 1.2
Pape Sarr Tottenham 14 16 2.1
Thomas Partey Arsenal 13 16 1.3
Yasin Ayari Brighton 11 16 2.2
Jack Grealish Man City 11 16 3.1
Raúl Jiménez Fulham 14 15 1.6
Jota Silva Nottm Forest 14 15 2.8
Dominic Calvert-Lewin Everton 14 15 1.2
Joe Aribo Southampton 14 15 1.7
Milos Kerkez Bournemouth 14 15 1.1
Pedro Porro Tottenham 14 15 1.1
Idrissa Gueye Everton 13 15 1.4
Kai Havertz Arsenal 13 15 1.2
Marc Cucurella Chelsea 13 15 1.4
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde Wolves 12 15 2.1
Wesley Fofana Chelsea 12 15 1.3
Mohammed Kudus West Ham 9 15 1.8
Ryan Manning Southampton 8 15 2.2
Anthony Elanga Nottm Forest 15 14 1.6
Leif Davis Ipswich 14 14 1
Alexis Mac Allister Liverpool 14 14 1.3
Rayan Aït-Nouri Wolves 14 14 1.1
Leon Bailey Aston Villa 14 14 1.7
Jarrod Bowen West Ham 14 14 1
Ilkay Gündogan Man City 14 14 1.3
Enzo Fernández Chelsea 13 14 1.4
Christian Nørgaard Brentford 12 14 1.3
Morgan Gibbs-White Nottm Forest 11 14 1.5
Eddie Nketiah Arsenal 10 14 2.4
Phil Foden Man City 10 14 2
Kobbie Mainoo Man Utd 9 14 1.7
Kalvin Phillips Ipswich 7 14 2.3
Marc Guéhi Crystal Palace 15 13 0.9
Calvin Bassey Fulham 14 13 0.9
João Gomes Wolves 14 13 1
Kaoru Mitoma Brighton 14 13 1
Sam Morsy Ipswich 13 13 1
Jack Harrison Everton 13 13 1.8
Dwight McNeil Everton 13 13 1
Vitalii Mykolenko Everton 12 13 1.2
Jack Clarke Ipswich 12 13 2.5
Carlos Baleba Brighton 11 13 1.5
Jefferson Lerma Crystal Palace 11 13 1.8
Jérémy Doku Man City 11 13 2.2
João Pedro Brighton 8 13 2.2
Alex Scott Bournemouth 8 13 4.5
João Félix Chelsea 8 13 4
Tyrick Mitchell Crystal Palace 15 12 0.8
Mikkel Damsgaard Brentford 15 12 1
Luis Díaz Liverpool 14 12 1.4
Lucas Paquetá West Ham 14 12 1.1
Josko Gvardiol Man City 14 12 0.9
Andreas Pereira Fulham 13 12 1.2
Danny Welbeck Brighton 13 12 1
Nicolas Jackson Chelsea 13 12 1
Noni Madueke Chelsea 13 12 1.2
Curtis Jones Liverpool 11 12 1.9
Yves Bissouma Tottenham 11 12 1.6
André Wolves 10 12 1.7
Trevoh Chalobah Crystal Palace 9 12 1.4
Adam Wharton Crystal Palace 8 12 1.7
Noussair Mazraoui Man Utd 15 11 0.9
Jhon Durán Aston Villa 15 11 2.4
Leandro Trossard Arsenal 14 11 1.3
Marcus Tavernier Bournemouth 14 11 0.9
Kenny Tete Fulham 13 11 0.9
Rodrigo Muniz Fulham 13 11 2.3
Ryan Christie Bournemouth 13 11 1.1
Crysencio Summerville West Ham 13 11 1.9
Casemiro Man Utd 12 11 1.3
Savinho Man City 12 11 1.4
Daichi Kamada Crystal Palace 11 11 1.6
Harvey Barnes Newcastle 15 10 1.3
Keane Lewis-Potter Brentford 15 10 0.8
Nathan Collins Brentford 15 10 0.7
Jean-Philippe Mateta Crystal Palace 15 10 0.8
Erling Haaland Man City 15 10 0.7
Brennan Johnson Tottenham 14 10 0.8
Amad Diallo Man Utd 13 10 1.1
Will Hughes Crystal Palace 13 10 1.1
Reiss Nelson Arsenal 12 10 1.8
Son Heung-Min Tottenham 11 10 1.1
Orel Mangala Everton 11 10 1.5
Amadou Onana Aston Villa 10 10 1.3
Rasmus Højlund Man Utd 10 10 1.5
Sasa Lukic Fulham 9 10 1.3
Lewis Hall Newcastle 15 9 0.7
Chris Wood Nottm Forest 15 9 0.7
Kevin Schade Brentford 15 9 1.2
Emile Smith Rowe Fulham 14 9 0.8
Jørgen Strand Larsen Wolves 14 9 0.7
James Tarkowski Everton 14 9 0.6
Justin Kluivert Bournemouth 14 9 1
Fábio Carvalho Brentford 14 9 2
Levi Colwill Chelsea 13 9 0.7
Stephy Mavididi Leicester 13 9 1.2
Ashley Young Everton 12 9 0.8
Jurriën Timber Arsenal 12 9 0.8
Darwin Núñez Liverpool 11 9 1.3
Wes Burns Ipswich 11 9 1.4
Cristian Romero Tottenham 11 9 0.8
Mathias Jensen Brentford 8 9 1.7
Oliver Skipp Leicester 8 9 1.6
Cameron Archer Southampton 15 8 0.9
Bernardo Silva Man City 15 8 0.6
Dominik Szoboszlai Liverpool 14 8 0.8
Callum Hudson-Odoi Nottm Forest 14 8 0.7
Vitaly Janelt Brentford 14 8 0.6
William Saliba Arsenal 13 8 0.6
Yukinari Sugawara Southampton 13 8 0.9
Tomás Soucek West Ham 13 8 0.8
Pedro Neto Chelsea 12 8 1.1
Victor Kristiansen Leicester 12 8 0.7
Gabriel Jesus Arsenal 11 8 3.1
Jaden Philogene Aston Villa 11 8 2.2
Ben Brereton Southampton 10 8 1.6
Jacob Ramsey Aston Villa 10 8 1.1
Manuel Ugarte Man Utd 10 8 1.4
Diogo Jota Liverpool 7 8 1.4
Marcus Rashford Man Utd 15 7 0.6
Daniel Muñoz Crystal Palace 15 7 0.5
Alex Iwobi Fulham 14 7 0.5
Cody Gakpo Liverpool 14 7 1
Adam Smith Bournemouth 14 7 0.7
Michail Antonio West Ham 14 7 0.7
Wilfred Ndidi Leicester 14 7 0.5
Sam Szmodics Ipswich 13 7 0.9
Nicolás Domínguez Nottm Forest 13 7 0.9
Gabriel Magalhães Arsenal 13 7 0.6
Aaron Wan-Bissaka West Ham 13 7 0.6
Neco Williams Nottm Forest 12 7 1.1
Joe Willock Newcastle 12 7 1.4
Mateo Kovacic Man City 11 7 0.7
Harry Winks Leicester 11 7 0.7
Marcos Senesi Bournemouth 11 7 0.7
Nélson Semedo Wolves 11 7 0.7
Carlos Soler West Ham 11 7 1.3
Edson Álvarez West Ham 10 7 1.2
Joachim Andersen Crystal Palace 9 7 0.8
Jacob Greaves Ipswich 8 7 0.9
Adam Lallana Southampton 8 7 2
Martin Ødegaard Arsenal 7 7 1.1
Radu Dragusin Tottenham 7 7 1.1
Yerson Mosquera Wolves 5 7 1.4
Chiedozie Ogbene Ipswich 5 7 2.6
Matthijs de Ligt Man Utd 15 6 0.5
Mario Lemina Wolves 14 6 0.5
Trent Alexander-Arnold Liverpool 13 6 0.6
Guido Rodríguez West Ham 13 6 0.7
Jamie Vardy Leicester 13 6 0.5
Declan Rice Arsenal 12 6 0.5
Gabriel Martinelli Arsenal 12 6 0.7
Manuel Akanji Man City 12 6 0.5
Taiwo Awoniyi Nottm Forest 11 6 2.7
Malo Gusto Chelsea 11 6 0.7
Dara O'Shea Ipswich 11 6 0.6
Beto Everton 9 6 3
Hwang Hee-Chan Wolves 9 6 1.8
Caleb Okoli Leicester 9 6 0.7
Igor Julio Brighton 9 6 0.7
Micky van de Ven Tottenham 8 6 0.8
Jonny Evans Man Utd 6 6 1.9
Tim Iroegbunam Everton 6 6 1.4
Boubacar Kamara Aston Villa 6 6 2.1
Diogo Dalot Man Utd 15 5 0.3
Lucas Digne Aston Villa 15 5 0.4
Antonee Robinson Fulham 14 5 0.4
Taylor Harwood-Bellis Southampton 14 5 0.4
Dan Burn Newcastle 14 5 0.4
Wout Faes Leicester 14 5 0.4
Alexander Isak Newcastle 13 5 0.4
Fabian Schär Newcastle 13 5 0.4
Conor Chaplin Ipswich 12 5 1.2
Ibrahima Konaté Liverpool 12 5 0.5
Maxence Lacroix Crystal Palace 12 5 0.4
Jan Bednarek Southampton 11 5 0.5
Konstantinos Mavropanos West Ham 11 5 0.6
Kyle Walker Man City 11 5 0.6
Álex Moreno Nottm Forest 11 5 0.6
Lewis Dunk Brighton 10 5 0.6
Matty Cash Aston Villa 9 5 0.7
Kevin De Bruyne Man City 9 5 0.8
Lloyd Kelly Newcastle 8 5 1.5
Vladimír Coufal West Ham 8 5 1.4
Cheick Doucouré Crystal Palace 7 5 1.9
Mikel Merino Arsenal 7 5 1.2
Jorginho Arsenal 6 5 1.5
Paul Onuachu Southampton 6 5 4.1
Ross Stewart Southampton 4 5 3.4
Virgil van Dijk Liverpool 14 4 0.3
Sean Longstaff Newcastle 14 4 0.5
Maximilian Kilman West Ham 14 4 0.3
Pau Torres Aston Villa 14 4 0.3
Emerson West Ham 14 4 0.4
Toti Gomes Wolves 12 4 0.4
Craig Dawson Wolves 12 4 0.4
Gonçalo Guedes Wolves 11 4 1.7
Dango Ouattara Bournemouth 11 4 0.7
Matheus Nunes Man City 11 4 0.8
Timo Werner Tottenham 11 4 1
Enes Ünal Bournemouth 11 4 2
Mats Wieffer Brighton 10 4 1
Axel Tuanzebe Ipswich 9 4 0.5
Yankuba Minteh Brighton 9 4 0.9
José Sá Wolves 9 4 0.4
Bobby De Cordova-Reid Leicester 9 4 1.8
Riccardo Calafiori Arsenal 8 4 0.7
Jens Cajuste Ipswich 8 4 0.8
Mason Mount Man Utd 7 4 1.5
Kasey McAteer Leicester 7 4 2
Ryan Fraser Southampton 7 4 1.2
Pablo Sarabia Wolves 5 4 2
Reece James Chelsea 4 4 1.5
Ibrahim Sangaré Nottm Forest 3 4 1.7
Lamare Bogarde Aston Villa 3 4 1.7
Patson Daka Leicester 3 4 5.4
Matz Sels Nottm Forest 15 3 0.2
Emiliano Martínez Aston Villa 15 3 0.2
David Raya Arsenal 14 3 0.2
Andy Robertson Liverpool 13 3 0.3
Christopher Nkunku Chelsea 13 3 1
Sepp van den Berg Brentford 13 3 0.2
Lisandro Martínez Man Utd 12 3 0.3
Jan Paul van Hecke Brighton 12 3 0.3
Rúben Dias Man City 12 3 0.3
Mads Roerslev Brentford 11 3 0.6
Pervis Estupiñán Brighton 11 3 0.3
Tom Cairney Fulham 10 3 1.6
Harry Wilson Fulham 10 3 1.3
Jesper Lindstrøm Everton 10 3 0.5
Jean-Clair Todibo West Ham 10 3 0.4
Rodrigo Bentancur Tottenham 10 3 0.5
Ben White Arsenal 9 3 0.4
Rodrigo Gomes Wolves 8 3 1
Kristoffer Ajer Brentford 8 3 0.4
Boubakary Soumaré Leicester 8 3 0.7
Conor Bradley Liverpool 7 3 1.2
Emiliano Buendía Aston Villa 7 3 7.3
Julio Enciso Brighton 7 3 3.2
Ben Johnson Ipswich 6 3 0.7
Miguel Almirón Newcastle 6 3 2.3
Ferdi Kadioglu Brighton 6 3 0.7
Joe Gomez Liverpool 5 3 1.3
Mikey Moore Tottenham 4 3 3.3
Matt O'Riley Brighton 4 3 1.4
Thiago Brentford 4 3 2.1
Billy Gilmour Brighton 2 3 2.8
Ricardo Pereira Leicester 2 3 1.8
Joshua Zirkzee Man Utd 15 2 0.3
André Onana Man Utd 15 2 0.1
Murillo Nottm Forest 15 2 0.1
Mark Flekken Brentford 15 2 0.1
Ethan Pinnock Brentford 15 2 0.1
Jordan Pickford Everton 14 2 0.1
Lewis Cook Bournemouth 13 2 0.2
Arijanet Muric Ipswich 13 2 0.2
Jacob Murphy Newcastle 12 2 0.3
Abdoulaye Doucouré Everton 12 2 0.2
Adam Armstrong Southampton 12 2 0.2
Ian Maatsen Aston Villa 12 2 0.6
Tommy Doyle Wolves 10 2 0.7
Jack Stephens Southampton 10 2 0.2
Jack Hinshelwood Brighton 10 2 0.2
Christian Eriksen Man Utd 9 2 0.4
Issa Diop Fulham 9 2 0.3
Aaron Ramsdale Arsenal 9 2 0.2
Harrison Reed Fulham 8 2 3.3
Luis Sinisterra Bournemouth 8 2 0.9
Lucas Bergvall Tottenham 8 2 2.9
George Hirst Ipswich 8 2 1
Jadon Sancho Chelsea 8 2 0.4
Ethan Nwaneri Arsenal 7 2 2.8
Santiago Bueno Wolves 7 2 0.3
Kieran Trippier Newcastle 7 2 0.6
James Ward-Prowse West Ham 7 2 0.5
Mykhailo Mudryk Chelsea 7 2 1.2
Archie Gray Tottenham 7 2 1.3
Jarrad Branthwaite Everton 7 2 0.4
Charlie Taylor Southampton 6 2 0.8
Nathaniel Clyne Crystal Palace 6 2 0.6
Jannik Vestergaard Leicester 6 2 0.4
Lesley Ugochukwu Southampton 6 2 0.9
Tyler Adams Bournemouth 6 2 0.5
Massimo Luongo Ipswich 5 2 1.2
Richarlison Tottenham 5 2 2
Benoît Badiashile Chelsea 3 2 1.1
Wilson Odobert Tottenham 3 2 1.1
Neto Bournemouth 2 2 1
Sam Amo-Ameyaw Southampton 2 2 6.9
Daniel Podence Wolves 2 2 3.9
Luis Guilherme West Ham 2 2 16.4
Rodri Man City 2 2 2.7
Toby Collyer Man Utd 1 2 4
Bernd Leno Fulham 14 1 0.1
Illia Zabarnyi Bournemouth 14 1 0.1
Mads Hermansen Leicester 14 1 0.1
Nikola Milenkovic Nottm Forest 14 1 0.1
Robert Sánchez Chelsea 13 1 0.1
Ross Barkley Aston Villa 12 1 0.2
Guglielmo Vicario Tottenham 12 1 0.1
Yehor Yarmoliuk Brentford 11 1 0.3
Sander Berge Fulham 11 1 0.1
Ramón Sosa Nottm Forest 10 1 0.6
Kepa Bournemouth 9 1 0.1
Bilal El Khannouss Leicester 9 1 0.3
Evan Ferguson Brighton 9 1 0.7
Harry Maguire Man Utd 8 1 0.3
Caoimhín Kelleher Liverpool 8 1 0.1
Julián Araujo Bournemouth 8 1 0.3
Danny Ings West Ham 8 1 0.6
Diego Carlos Aston Villa 8 1 0.1
Roméo Lavia Chelsea 8 1 0.2
Matt Doherty Wolves 7 1 0.3
John Stones Man City 7 1 0.3
Jakub Kiwior Arsenal 7 1 0.4
David Brooks Bournemouth 7 1 0.7
Cameron Burgess Ipswich 6 1 0.2
Wataru Endo Liverpool 6 1 4.5
Kostas Tsimikas Liverpool 6 1 0.4
Oleksandr Zinchenko Arsenal 6 1 0.4
Chris Richards Crystal Palace 6 1 0.3
Renato Veiga Chelsea 6 1 0.5
Carlos Forbs Wolves 6 1 0.4
Timothy Castagne Fulham 5 1 0.6
Ali Al-Hamadi Ipswich 5 1 1.7
Luke Woolfenden Ipswich 5 1 0.2
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall Chelsea 5 1 1.6
Kamaldeen Sulemana Southampton 5 1 2
Philip Billing Bournemouth 4 1 2.3
Will Smallbone Southampton 4 1 0.4
Ben Davies Tottenham 4 1 0.3
Harry Clarke Ipswich 4 1 0.5
Callum Wilson Newcastle 4 1 1.6
Antony Man Utd 3 1 2.4
Jarell Quansah Liverpool 3 1 0.6
James Milner Brighton 3 1 0.5
James Bree Southampton 3 1 0.7
Emil Krafth Newcastle 3 1 0.4
Alex McCarthy Southampton 3 1 0.3
Kosta Nedeljkovic Aston Villa 3 1 1
Jason Steele Brighton 2 1 0.5
Daniel Jebbison Bournemouth 2 1 3.5
Samuel Edozie Southampton 2 1 1.4
Nathan Wood Southampton 2 1 0.5
Maxwel Cornet Southampton 2 1 1.3
Paris Maghoma Brentford 2 1 3.3
Max Aarons Bournemouth 1 1 6
Federico Chiesa Liverpool 1 1 5
Luke Thomas Leicester 1 1 1
Tyrone Mings Aston Villa 1 1 1
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey Man City 1 1 1
Tyrell Malacia Man Utd 1 1 2
Nick Pope Newcastle 15 0 0
Dean Henderson Crystal Palace 15 0 0
Ederson Man City 12 0 0
Bart Verbruggen Brighton 12 0 0
Simon Adingra Brighton 10 0 0
Jeffrey Schlupp Crystal Palace 10 0 0
Jack Taylor Ipswich 9 0 0
Michael Keane Everton 9 0 0
Dean Huijsen Bournemouth 8 0 0
Alphonse Areola West Ham 8 0 0
Morato Nottm Forest 8 0 0
Lukasz Fabianski West Ham 7 0 0
Alisson Becker Liverpool 6 0 0
Odsonne Édouard Crystal Palace 6 0 0
Raheem Sterling Arsenal 6 0 0
Andy Irving West Ham 5 0 0
Sam Johnstone Crystal Palace 5 0 0
Tosin Adarabioyo Chelsea 5 0 0
Nathan Aké Man City 5 0 0
Justin Devenny Crystal Palace 5 0 0
Brajan Gruda Brighton 5 0 0
Aaron Cresswell West Ham 4 0 0
Niclas Füllkrug West Ham 4 0 0
Djed Spence Tottenham 4 0 0
James Garner Everton 4 0 0
Yunus Konak Brentford 4 0 0
Victor Lindelöf Man Utd 4 0 0
Mark Travers Bournemouth 3 0 0
Adam Webster Brighton 3 0 0
Joe Lumley Southampton 3 0 0
Stefan Ortega Man City 3 0 0
Tariq Lamptey Brighton 3 0 0
Axel Disasi Chelsea 3 0 0
Conor Coady Leicester 3 0 0
Scott McTominay Man Utd 2 0 0
Marcus Harness Ipswich 2 0 0
Jake O'Brien Everton 2 0 0
Willy-Arnaud Boly Nottm Forest 2 0 0
Eric da Silva Moreira Nottm Forest 2 0 0
Frank Onyeka Brentford 2 0 0
Fraser Forster Tottenham 2 0 0
Myles Lewis-Skelly Arsenal 2 0 0
Nathan Broadhead Ipswich 2 0 0
Luke Shaw Man Utd 2 0 0
Leny Yoro Man Utd 2 0 0
Christian Walton Ipswich 1 0 0
Harry Toffolo Nottm Forest 1 0 0
Danilo Nottm Forest 1 0 0
Chadi Riad Crystal Palace 1 0 0
Marc Guiu Chelsea 1 0 0
Filip Jørgensen Chelsea 1 0 0
Hamza Choudhury Leicester 1 0 0
Roman Dixon Everton 1 0 0
Séamus Coleman Everton 1 0 0
Vítezslav Jaros Liverpool 1 0 0
Nathan Patterson Everton 1 0 0
Robin Olsen Aston Villa 1 0 0
Ronnie Edwards Southampton 1 0 0
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Newcastle boast the two most fouled players in the league too in Bruno Guimarãesand Anthony Gordon, so Thomas Partey looks set to have his work cut out this weekend, whether that be at right-back or midfield!


Arsenal remain underestimated by the market

I'm still a believer. A believer that Arsenal are going to win the Premier League this season.

The 3.9 on the Betfair Exchange has really drawn me in this week - it's been winking at me, trying to convince me to up my position on the Gunners before the price crashes as we head towards Christmas.

This is the time for Mikel Arteta's team to get motoring though. A winning run between now at the busy festive period is an absolute must if the title is heading their way this season. Starting at St James' Park on Saturday for is a winnable fixture where the price on an away win has got me interested.

If I'm of the persuasion that Arsenal are going to be winning the Premier League then the 2.021/1 on them to beat Newcastle has to be value.

It's a big price when you consider the prices Arsenal have gone off when playing against what I would declare as evenly matched teams with Newcastle. Against Bournemouth their price was 1.768/11, it was 1.728/11 at Aston Villa, 1.748/11 at Spurs and 1.501/2 at Brighton.

Newcastle are being priced up here as a genuine top-four challenger, which looks a bit baffling to my maths.

Eddie Howe has made them quite predictable to play against and they haven't won in the Premier League for five matches. Yes, the expected goals numbers are painting a positive picture but this is a team that have declined since qualifying for the Champions League in barnstorming fashion two years ago.

Arsenal and their exemplary road record now William Saliba is back from suspension is worth investing in. With Saliba on the pitch, the Gunners have conceded just six goals in their last 16 away games.

This team can keep a clean sheet against anyone in world football, registering 11 shutouts in those last 16 away days.

Arteta has devised a formula to make them incredibly hard to beat on the road, which stems from the fact they only need to score one or two goals to win the game as they're so perfect defensively.

When you fancy Arsenal to win on the road, adding a clean sheet into the mix is a profitable betting strategy. This is another great opportunity to back the win to nil at 13/53.60 - a price which is gigantic really for a team that have won to nil on the road on nine of their last 16 matches - that's a 56 per cent strike rate.

Also, this is historically a fixture where a win to nil is a runner as nine of the last 12 meetings in all competitions have been won by a side without conceding. And that has led to an interesting quirk of 11 of the last 12 copping for punters that are backing 'no' in the both teams to score market.

That is actually priced up as the outsider of the two options in that market here at 23/20 which doesn't really make sense as the goal expectancy is low for a Premier League game with the under 2.5 line trading at odds-on at 10/111.91.

I wouldn't people off having a swing at the 'no' option as a single but being a greedy guts, I'm more than happy to take a chance at the bigger price of Arsenal to win to nil as the main bet.


Remember, the Betfair Exchange 'Free Bet Streak' is live again this weekend. Place a £10 bet on any sport on Saturday, and you will unlock your first £10 free bet once it settles (win or lose). You will then unlock another £10 free bet each time you win for up to seven days.

My £10 bet on this one would be the Arsenal win and then when it wins place my free £10 bet on the big Man Utd v Chelsea game on Sunday!

Listen to this week's Football...Only Bettor podcast!


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