Luton v Tottenham: Boost Spurs to 2/1 and back 13/2 Bet Builder

• Unbeaten Spurs have conceded in 5 of 7

• Luton have netted against Brighton and West Ham

• Also Bet Builder suggestion at 13/27.50

• Read Betfair's 90 Minute Payout offer here

• Completely free Bet Builder or acca this weekend!

Luton v Tottenham
Saturday 7 October, 12:30
Live on TNT Sports 1

If Jurgen Klopp had his way, perhaps Tottenham would be hosting Liverpool again this weekend.

However, instead of playing the same team for the second time in eight days, Spurs will head to Luton for the first time in more than 30 years on Saturday lunchtime.

We can only hope we're not hearing VAR audio in the days that follow - for the record the match referee is John Brooks, the VAR Michael Oliver and his assistant, Gary Beswick. I've no idea who the technical guy is but last week's shenanigans suggest he or she may be worth listening to.

For all that Spurs probably shouldn't have won last week - the crazy VAR non-call came at 0-0 - the fact is that they did and therefore remain unbeaten this season. They will head into this one just one point and one place behind leaders Manchester City.

Spurs strong v newcomers

Tottenham been a more attacking unit under Ange Postecoglou and have scored multiple goals in all seven Premier League games so far, while they've had more shots than any other side in the top flight.

They've won 12 of their last 14 games against newly-promoted sides and that doesn't bode well for a Luton outfit who have predictably struggled on their return to English football's top table.

It's just one win so far, that coming at Everton last weekend - the Toffees are the gift that keeps on giving to the newly-promoted teams.

Still, any hope of gaining momentum from that 2-1 victory was quickly extinguished in midweek when they were beaten at home by drop rivals Burnley.

That game saw defender Amari'i Bell limp off with what appeared to be a hamstring injury so he's set to miss out here. Better news is that Ross Barkley is returning to fitness and could be involved.

Spurs have lost Manor Solomon to injury, although he hadn't started the last two league games.

Best way to back favourites

Given how both teams have started, it's hard to look beyond Spurs here, although how many people will want to back them at 1.4740/85 for the win is open to question.

An alternative at a bigger price is to side with Spurs with both teams scoring - that's available at 2.982/1.

Both teams to score has landed in five of their seven games, both Sheffield United and Burnley managing to find the net against them (indeed, both opening the scoring).

It's also five-in-seven on BTTS for Luton, who have netted in games against Brighton and West Ham.

In terms of the match outcome, this looks of some interest.

Marvelous fouls bet

Heading to the props markets and you find plenty of Bet Builder potential.

Of most interest is Marvelous Nakamba for 2+ fouls - a bet I mentioned in the props column last week.

The Luton midfielder, who has played every minute of the Premier League campaign thus far, has landed this in seven of his eight appearances this season, only missing out on the opening day at Brighton.

The layers have finally caught up with odds-against quotes now gone but the prices are still tempting - Nakamba is 1.9720/21 on the Exchange (low liquidity at time of writing) or 5/61.84 on the Sportsbook.

Also in the fouls market, Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu looks decent at 1.784/5 for 1+ foul - he's delivered for his backers in three Premier League starts out of three but the worry is he could be replaced by the aforementioned Barkley.

Free Bet Builder at 13/2

With Spurs firing off those shots, it's also worth looking at some of their principals.

Pedro Porro has been a punter's friend in this market since his arrival in January but, again, the markets are catching up and there's little value in him here at 8/131.61 given his managed 2+ shots just twice in six games.

A better bet is to side with Pape Matar Sarr, who has clearly been given some licence by Postecoglou in terms of getting forward and having a dig as only James Maddison and Son Heung-min have had more shots for Spurs in 2023/24.

He's landed the 2+ shots bet five times out of six and looks a decent addition to any Bet Builder, particularly given the level of opposition.

Son himself is also worth considering for a goal at any time - he's even money in this market.

The Korean has six goals in seven games so far, second only to Erling Haaland and, importantly, has a fine record against the newly-promoted teams, scoring 21 times in his 32 games against them. They include a hat-trick at Burnley last month.

Finally, let's point out the one side of Angeball that no-one is really mentioning.

Spurs have collected more cards than any other Premier League team, landing the over 2.5 cards bet in six of their seven matches.

That's on offer at 23/202.15 here and the appointment of Brooks is encouraging too.

He was the third-best ref for yellow cards last season and while he's lower on that list this season, he's on virtually the same per-game average (4.25).

Sarr 2+ shots, Son to score and Spurs over 2.5 cards pays 13/27.50 - and remember you can get a free Bet Builder this weekend by clicking here!

Opta fact

Tottenham have won 12 of their last 14 Premier League games against promoted sides (D1 L1), already beating Burnley and Sheffield United this season. They've not lost to a side in their debut season in the competition since 2010-11 (1-3 against Blackpool).

Opta stats: 10 bets based on the facts and figures