Chelsea v Luton: Shoot for profit with Chilwell

• Attack-minded Chilwell worth backing for 2+ shots again

• Bet Builder suggestion at 12/1

• Claim your FREE acca or Bet Builder here!

• Read Betfair's new 90 Minute Payout offer here

Chelsea v Luton
Friday 25 August, 20:00
Live on Sky Sports Premier League and Main Event

It's fair to say it's not been the best of starts to the new Premier League season for either of these sides.

Luton were well beaten, 4-1, on the opening weekend at Brighton - their only game so far as last week's was called off due to building work at Kenilworth Road (insert meme here).

Can Chelsea build on positives?

Chelsea are also yet to win having drawn with Liverpool and lost at West Ham.
Given the turnover of players (and manager) during the transfer window, an iffy start is hardly a huge surprise but Mauricio Pochettino will at least have taken plenty of positives from those opening games.

Chelsea had strong spells in both matches - they were the better side in the second half against Liverpool and should have been ahead at half time against the Hammers.

The former Spurs boss will now be looking for a 90-minute performance and one suspects he has the opposition here which will allow his team to click.

Luton had just 29% of possession at Brighton and allowed 27 shots on their goal, hardly a performance to defy those saying the Hatters are in for a long season of struggle.

BTTS could offer value

With Nicolas Jackson having made a lively start to life up front at Chelsea, I'd expect the hosts to cause plenty of problems in attack with a home win by at least two clear goals likely.

However, the markets give little away - Chelsea (-1) on the handicap is at 8/131.61 and over 2.5 goals at 1.584/7 is surely only one for Bet Builders.

With Chelsea yet to settle defensively and now without a clean sheet in 11 Premier League games, I wouldn't rule out Luton getting on the scoresheet and there's potential value to be had going down that route.

Both teams to score is odds-against at 2.226/5, while a Chelsea win with both teams scoring is at 3.185/40.

Get on Chilwell for shots

However, my best bet comes in the sub-markets where Ben Chilwell is worth backing in the shots department.

Given how he played at Spurs, it's been no surprise to see Pochettino instructing his wing-backs to really push forward.

Sadly for the Argentine, he's already lost Reece James to injury but his England international team-mate Chilwell has made a strong start down the opposite flank.

Chilwell managed two first-half shots against West Ham last week and may well have managed more had he not been the man sacrificed when Pochettino opted to change formation upon falling behind.

Given what we've seen from Chelsea so far, I'd expect Chilwell to get into some great positions in this game.

It's also worth noting that Brighton's Pervis Estupinan, another player given licence to push on, had three shots against Luton a fortnight ago.

I'm keen to back Chilwell in this market and 5/61.84 for 2+ shots looks perfectly fair.

Others may want to try the higher lines too - 3+ is at 11/43.75 and 4+ 7/18.00.

If Chelsea are to dominate in the way odds of 1.251/4 suggest, it may also pay to back them for 25+ shots at 7/24.50 - Brighton landed that with something to spare at home to Luton.

Boost Bet Builder with Mpanzu

The Chilwell bet also looks a strong base for Bet Builders on the Sportsbook, along with over 2.5 goals.

For those seeking a chunky price, it may be worth adding Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu for 2+ fouls at a tasty-looking 16/54.20.

The Luton midfielder's rise from non-league has been well documented but he struggled in that opening game, one which saw him commit three fouls.

Admittedly, his Championship stats don't really support this bet - it's one based almost entirely on what I saw in Luton's Premier League debut game.

But the start of the season is when new trends are made and it wouldn't be a big shock to find that Mpanzu has finally reached a level where he's a little out of his depth.

Referee Robert Jones was above the average for fouls awarded per game last season and although it's early days this season, he's already well above it again, two games in.

The three-legged Bet Builder pays just under 12/113.00 - and don't forget you can get a completely FREE acca or Bet Builder this weekend!

Football... Only Bettor. Watch the latest episode now.