Brighton v Everton: Back a frequent Seagulls outcome at 13/10

• Seagulls soaring into Europe after win over United

• Top 4 Finish dreams still alive

• De Zerbi's men have won five of their last six at home without conceding

• Toffees winless in seven and poor away to top half teams

• Incredible Brighton shots stats hard to ignore

Amex form key in Seagulls' super season

Barring the obvious - that Manchester City are on a different planet - Brighton have been the team of the season for me.

To almost have cemented a top six finish, and still be in with an outside chance of finishing inside the top four, with just a handful of games remaining is an extraordinary achievement.

Graham Potter did wonders as the Seagulls boss, but Roberto De Zerbi has taken his team to another level. They are up there with the best teams in Europe when it comes to passing accuracy and possession stats. There looks to be absolutley no fluke about their success.

On their day they can score goals for fun too. There was a period in the middle of the season when they couldn't stop scoring; three against Liverpool and Arsenal, four against Chelsea and Everton, five against Middlesbrough for example.

And in recent weeks they've scored three against Brentford, four against West Ham, five against Grimsby and six against Wolves. All those goals came at the Amex, where they've won five of their last six (W5, D1), keeping five clean sheets in the process.

So we know De Zerbi's men can defend too. And with almost all his key men available - Pascal Gross a possible exception - the Brighton boss looks set for another positive result on Monday.

Dire situation for Dyche's men

In stark contrast to Brighton, Everton's season has been abysmal, and it could easily end up with the ultimate disappointment; relegation from the Premier League.

Make no bones about it, the Toffees are in a dire situation. Second bottom of the table going into the weekend, a worse goal difference than two of the three teams immediately above them, and Brighton and Man City to come in their next two games.

If you want to back Everton in the Relegation market, then doing so now at 4/6 seems as good a time as any because come the end of next weekend they might easily be 1/4 shots!

Sean Dyche's men are on a run of seven games without a win, though away from home they have drawn four of their last five games. However, those were all achieved against bottom-half teams.

They've lost their last three away games to teams in the top half of the table by an aggregate score of 8-0!

And the bad news keeps on coming. Veteran defender Seamus Coleman has been ruled out for the remainder of the season with the knee injury he suffered against Leicester. Fellow defender Ben Godfrey is also out injured.

Home win looks a bit of a banker

In the Match Odds market Brighton are the red hot favourites at 1.42/5 which looks absolutely fine to me.

Given the gulf in class between the two sides, and the Seagulls' recent home form, you can easily make a case for Brighton being quite a bit shorter. Everton can be backed at 9.28/1 with the Draw trading at around 5.69/2.

In my view this is a terrible match for the Toffees.

Brighton's late win over Manchester United in midweek appeared to give the whole squad a huge lift, and with a Top 4 Finish - availalbe to back at 16/1 - still a possibility, you can almost guarantee they'll be on top of their game for this one.

Ability wise Everton don't have anyone who can weave some magic and turn a game in their favour, and knocking balls up to Dominic Calvert-Lewin will be meat and drink for the superb defensive partnership of Lewis Dunk and Adam Webster.

Add in Brighton's excellent home form and defensive record and I just don't see how Everton trouble De Zerbi's men in this match.

I did consider backing the Seagulls -1 on the handicap at around 2.1411/10, but at the back of my mind remains the memory of some absolute dominant Brighton performances where they've failed to convert their chances.

So instead I'll go with the obvious selection and put up a Brighton Win to Nil as my best bet of the game at 13/10 on the Betfair Sportsbook. Remember, the Seagulls have won five of their last six games at the Amex Stadium, all achieved without conceding a goal.

Seagulls shoot for fun

When it comes to shooting at goal, no team in the Premier League does it more often than Brighton, and I can see the visit of Everton being a perfect game for De Zerbi's men to try their luck.

The Seagulls should dominate possession, as they usually do, and they'll probably revert to shooting from anywhere should Dyche's men start to frustrate them.

And if that's not the case, and Brighton do go ahead, then the Toffees will have to start attacking in an attempt to rescua a vital point, which will leave gaps galore for the hosts to exploit.

So consider this. Brighton have registered at least 20 shots at goal (on or off target) in seven of their last eight home games. They're 11/10 to do so again on Monday.

They registered 22 shots against Manchester United in midweek - that's a team in the top four of the Premier League - and they registered an incredible 33 shots against an excellent Brentford side a few weeks ago.

The 11/10 for 20+ shots will do for me then, but I wouldn't put anyone off backing Brighton to register 25+ shots at 9/2.