Tobias Gourlay finishes his double shift in Spain, where he hopes not to go out with a bang
"Nine of Lugo's last 11 away games have finished with Under 2.5 Goals"
Zaragoza v Lugo
Cruz Azul 4 Monterrey 0 in Mexico last night. We were paid out by half time and on our way to Spain.
It's Zaragoza versus Lugo in the Segunda Division this afternoon and we fancy it as a match to bet on, rather than to watch.
The reverse fixture finished goalless, just as this game did last season. More recently, Zaragoza have seen 9/12 at La Romareda end with Under 2.5 Goals. They've delivered clean sheets in 6/10, while scoring more than twice themselves in only 1/12.
Meanwhile, nine of Lugo's last 11 away games have finished with Under 2.5 Goals. Luis Milla's men have conceded just four times across their last seven on the road and defence should once again be the priority in Zaragoza this evening.
Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.748/11 in Zaragoza v Lugo
2016 P/L (1pt per bet)