French domestic football is not known for serving up too many high-octane thrillers, but Tobias Gourlay thinks he's found one in Valenciennes tonight
"The Stade du Hainaut has already seen 42 goals this season at a rate of exactly three a game"
Valenciennes v Orleans
Perth stole the Glory and left nothing for us in Australia this morning. The visitors went to Adelaide and won 2-0 to leave us short of the goals line.
No matter. We've got a chance to make up the ground in France this evening. One of tonight's Ligue 2 games pits 12th-placed Valenciennes at home to 7th-placed Orleans. It also pits a team that has scored seven times in its last two home games against a team that's scoring more away goals than anyone else. With Over 2.5 Goals on offer at [2.12] we wouldn't want to be anywhere else.
The Stade du Hainaut has already seen 42 goals this season at a rate of exactly three a game. Since Reginald Ray took charge in 2017, just over half of all Valenciennes' home matches have delivered Over 2.5 Goals (15/28) including 12 of the most recent 18 and all of the last three.
Didier Olle-Nicolle's Orleans have served up Over 2.5 Goals in a similar fraction of their away matches (22/42) including 9/13 this season. While they've managed just a single clean sheet from their last seven on the road, they've notched at least twice themselves in 6/9 and are showing all the signs of converting tonight's clash into another high scorer.
2019 P/L (1pt per bet)
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ [2.12] in Valenciennes v Orleans