Football Bet of the Day: Goals spree in Canada

Toronto FC v New York Red Bulls
Thursday 01:00 (Live on Premier Sports 1)

At the time of writing, yesterday's bet is still a live one. Favourites Guoan have just taken an early lead - here's hoping it brings Renhe out of their shell.

Today's bet comes from across the pond. Going back into last season, Toronto FC have served up at least three match goals in 16/17 MLS games at BMO Field. Greg Vanney's men have delivered at least four match goals in 12 of those 17 matches. They start as odds-on favourites to beat New York Red Bulls tonight, despite conceding at least twice in 7/8 on home turf. We fancy there are more goals on the way.

Chris Armas's visitors have scored at least twice in 5/7 on the road recently. The same fraction have reached four match goals in total. Over 3.5 Goals is a temptingly priced close to 2.506/4 but, because 3/6 Toronto home games have recently finished with exactly three goals, we're taking the 1.9210/11 about Over 3.0 Goals. If the match finishes with exactly three goals again, that means we'll get our stake back. Anything more than that and we have ourselves a winner.