Thursday Football Tips: Hammer the value with Ullmann

West Ham v Rapid Vienna
Thursday 30 September, 20:00
Live on BT Sport 1

This column had a near-miss on Wednesday night when the 5/1 double fell one shot short.

However, the headline part of the bet - shots from right-back Rasmus Kristensen - certainly delivered and anyone who backed singles on his shots lines would have been rewarded. He finished with three which had been offered at 15/2.

I'm going to stick with a similar theme for this match where another full-back looks a big price to fire off a shot or two.

The man in question this time around is Rapid left-back Maximilian Ullmann.

He's managed a shot in 12 of his 15 games this season - including five of seven in Europe - yet he's available here at 5/2 to have another.

OK, West Ham will start firm favourites given Rapid's recent slump - a run of five games without a win has seen them slip to second-bottom of the Austrian Bundesliga.

But do we really see them dominating completely?

With one eye on Sunday's home Premier League game with Brentford, the hosts will doubtless make a few changes to give Rapid hope.

It's hard to envisage a side struggling at the moment simply trying to shut up shop away to quality opposition, especially given their natural style is to get their full-backs forward.

They will need outlets and Ullmann will offer one down the left flank.

He likes a shot from around the box and if he gets into that sort of position of a few occasions, it's not hard to see him getting as shot away at some point.

The 2+ shots bet is also worth considering at 10/1. Ullmann has landed this in three of his seven European games in the current campaign.