"Bottom-of-the-table St Mirren have scored in 7/9 on the road – only Rangers and Celtic have stopped them"
Tobias Gourlay reckons defences will sin as the Saints travel to the Jags in the Scottish Premiership tonight
St Johnstone v St Mirren
Wednesday 19:45
We fancied a low-scoring draw in Scandinavia yesterday. We got a high-scoring draw. But the bit we bet on was the draw. So we walk away with a plump winner.
We return to domestic action today. North of the border, St Johnstone host St Mirren in a Scottish Premiership match tonight and we're more optimistic than most that the bottom-of-the-table visitors can make a game of it.
Ninth-placed St Johnstone are W4-D4-L6 at McDiarmid Park this season. Most recently, they have lost 5/6 on home turf and conceded at least twice in 6/7. At the other end, Tommy Wright's men have scored in 10/10 hosting teams from outside the current top four.
Oran Kearney's visitors are a predictably poor W1-D4-L7 on the road this term. However, their last two away trips have brought score draws at third-placed Aberdeen and fifth-placed Hearts. The Saints have actually scored in 7/9 on the road - only Rangers and Celtic have stopped them. At the other end, of course, they have been feeble: just one clean sheet in 12.
All told, this looks like two sides with weak defences and slightly-better-than-expected attacks going head to head. We fancy both teams can score and at 2.226/5 the price is too big to ignore.