Real Sociedad v Girona
Monday 20:00
Kev was popping champagne in Peru last night as Sporting Cristal squeaked past Cajamarca 1-0 to land his goals bet. He's now got a week to recover and we've got a week to catch up with him.
Our shift begins in the Basque Country. We were here a few weeks ago for Real Sociedad's 2-2 draw with Rayo Vallecano and are hoping for a similar result tonight.
Sociedad's long Over 2.5 Goals run came to an end in their last home match as miserly Valencia beat them 1-0. Long term, though, the numbers still look great: since the start of last season, 19/22 Liga matches at Anoeta have delivered Over 2.5 Goals.
The hosts have logged just five clean sheets in that time. Tonight's visitors have scored in each of their first three away games of the season and should fancy their chances of getting on the score-sheet again today. Girona have seen 12/20 road matches get to Over 2.5 Goals, as they have scored themselves in 17/20. At the other end, they too look shaky, managing clean sheets in only 4/20. At an odds-against price, no question Over 2.5 Goals is our bet of the day.
Recommended bets
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.0421/20 in Real Sociedad v Girona
2018 P/L (1pt per bet)
Staked: 135pts
Returned: 146.45pts
P/L: +11.45pts