Football Bet of the Day: Pilgrims headed for goals

Plymouth v Shrewsbury
Tuesday 19:45

Metz letz us down in France last night. The Ligue 2 leaders had just scored the game's first goal and were headed for success against 10-man Sochaux when they conceded an 81st-minute penalty. Rafa Navarro converted it and our dream was over.

We rise again in Plymouth, where League 1's 15th-placed outfit welcome 20th-placed Shrewsbury Town to Home Park tonight. Under Derek Adams, more than 60% of Argyle's home games have delivered Over 2.5 Goals (25/41) and we're delighted to accept that bet at an odds-against price for this evening's game.

Last time out at Home Park, Argyle held top-of-the-table Luton Town to a goalless draw, but Adams' ambition will surely have changed for the visit of struggling Shrewsbury. Plymouth have scored at least twice in 9/14 on home turf and should believe that firepower will help them blow away tonight's weaker opposition. Ten of those 14 matches reached Over 2.5 Goals in total, as the hosts have managed just three clean sheets in 18 attempts since the start of term.

Shrewsbury have scored in 8/9 away matches since caretaker bosses Danny Coyne and Eric Ramsay took over in November last year. Both teams scored in 8/9 of those matches, with 6/9 getting to Over 2.5 Goals. Trips to teams now outside the top 10 have finished 1-2, 2-3, 1-2, 1-1, 1-2 and 3-4. We're optimistic that tonight's game will also deliver a few goals.