Football Bet of the Day: All aboard the Nacional express

Moreirense v Nacional
Monday 19:00

Dusseldorf's a cold place, a great but obscure band once sang. It's also an unforgiving place, as Kev found out last night. That's because, after a bad run, RB Leipzig blew very hot indeed: 3-0 up after 16 minutes, they eventually beat not-so-Fortuna Dusseldorf 4-0.

As Kev goes off for a lie down, we're headed to Portugal, where our pick of tonight's Primeira Liga games pitches Moreirense at home to Nacional. When they pop over to the mainland, Madeira's Nacional tend to bring goals with them and we like the odds-against price on a high scorer tonight.

In their first season back in the top flight, the visitors won the reverse fixture 2-1. On their travels this term, Costinha's men have seen both teams score in 7/8, with 6/8 delivering Over 2.5 Goals. Most recently, they've lost 1-3 at top-of-the-table Porto and 2-5 at fourth-placed Sporting. Their only other trip to a team now in the top half brought a 2-4 defeat at third-placed Braga.

Seventh-placed Moreirense's home matches have been somewhat quieter, but the hosts have scored in 7/8 at Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas. They've managed clean sheets in 4/8, but are yet to host anyone with Nacional's excellent scoring record (14 goals in eight road games). We fancy Nacional can spark an entertaining game tonight.