Monday Football Tips: Back shots for Saints at the Hawthorns

Ralph Hasenhuttl
Ralph Hasenhüttl's side can be very entertaining

Paul Higham thinks Southampton will not be afraid to pull the trigger when they visit West Brom on Monday night.

"West Brom allow the most shots on target in the league and Southampton are one of the most accurate sides in the division. They got six shots on target at Man City so should be well able to go one better here."

Back Southampton to have seven shots on target against West Brom @ 4.3100/30

West Brom v Southampton
Monday 12 April, 18:00 BST kick-off
Live on Sky Sports

The pubs are open again on Monday so it's only natural we look at some shots to start the week off with some profit!

West Brom v Southampton doesn't scream entertainment, but I've got a sneaky suspicion that it could be better than advertised in the early Monday night kick-off.

Saints are 10 points above the drop zone but will not consider themselves safe, and while the Baggies will be in the Championship next season their win over Chelsea last week will see them bouncing into this game full of confidence.

Both sides will also fancy this game - Ralph Hasenhuttl will have this pegged as a three-pointer that will basically seal their safety, while Sam Allardyce will also see this as an opportunity to get another good performance in, at the very least, to continue to preserve his reputation.

For these reasons, I can see goals coming at both ends, but so can the bookies with both teams to score weighing in at 1.84/5.

We can do better though, so let's head to the shots market with the stats showing that West Brom allow the most shots and shots on target in the division - conceding 14.83 shots per game, with 6.10 per game finding the target.

Southampton are only middle of the road in terms of shots, but even they'll find more time and space to pull the trigger against the Baggies.

Crucially for us, only three teams in the league are more accurate than Saints with 39% of their efforts hitting the target, so while the volume may not be there for full value, the 2.77/4 on offer for them to hit the target six times or more certainly appeals.

Southampton managed six shots on target away at Man City though, so surely they can go one better here, and a much more juicy 4.3100/30 is on offer for them to hit the target seven times or more at the Hawthorns.

Hasenhuttl's men also managed seven shots on target at Sheffield United in a game against a similar standard of opponent, and nine at home to Burnley in their last outing shows they're not afraid of have a dig at goal.

Oh, and they had exactly seven shots on target in the first meeting against West Brom this season.

Column P/L

Staked: 28pts
Returned: 26.22pts
P/L: -1.78pts

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