"The visitors are W4-D5-L12 on the road since the start of last season, but three of those wins were front loaded into last season"
For the final time this week, Tobias Gourlay's in Spain and he's got the hots for another home team
Las Palmas v Leganes
Sunday 17:30 (Live on Sky Sports Red Button)
We've spent most of this week on the Iberian Peninsula. Just this morning, we were over in Catalonia for the early kick-off, and now we're going to finish this shift in the Canary Islands.
The pride of Gran Canaria, Las Palmas are exactly what you might imagine an island team to be: great at home; terrible travel sickness as soon as they have to get on a boat.
At Estadio Gran Canaria, the locals went W17-D11-L10 through their first two seasons back in the big time. Take out their results against teams that finished those seasons in the top six, and they were a very robust W15-D8-L3. This season, the pattern continues: they lost to Atletico Madrid, who look well set for the top six again, but most recently won 1-0 against Athletic Bilbao, who may or may not reach those heights.
Today we're backing Manolo Marquez's men to take all three points from Leganes, who finished last season - their first back in the top flight - one place above the drop zone. The visitors are W4-D5-L12 on the road since their return, but three of those wins were front loaded into last season. They're W1-D5-L11 since then and we don't fancy their chances of taking the island this afternoon.
Recommended Bet
Back Las Palmas @ 2.166/5 to beat Leganes