Football Bet of the Day: Leaky defence of Defensa the route to profit

Godoy Cruz v Defensa y Justicia
Sunday September 7th, 19:15
Live on Betfair Live Video

All good things must come to an end, and this week's winning streak was halted by pesky Gremio, who secured a 1-0 win at Flamengo. Luan's superb 90th-minute goal brought Flamengo's five-match winning sequence to an end. Like the Scarlet and Black must now do, we will pick ourselves up, dust ourselves down and get back on the horse.

We're staying in South America for a fourth bet running, and this time it's an Argentinean Primera match between Godoy Cruz and Defensa y Justicia. Good old Godoy netted us a 2.6813/8 winner last month in the Over 2.5 Goals market, and that's the way I'm leaning again, with 2.3811/8 the price on offer this time.

One of the reasons the price is so chunky is that Godoy Cruz have netted just one goal in their last three league games. However, they have recently shown they can find the back of the net. In their first two games they put three past Banfield, and secured a 2-2 draw away at Quilmes. Overall, three of their five league games so far have contained three goals or more.

Defensa y Justicia are third from bottom, and have the league's worst defence so far, with 12 goals shipped in just five matches. Four of their five league games have featured three goals or more, with three of them also paying out in the Over 3.5 Goals market. What further helps our cause is that Defensa y Justicia tend to score goals as well - they have only drawn a blank once in five outings.

I know it can be misleading sometimes to draw conclusions from cup competitions, but in July these two sides met in the Copa Argentina, and they played out a 3-3 draw. Just half of that total will suit us just fine.

Recommended Bet
Back Over 2.5 Goals at 2.3811/8