Tobias Gourlay's going against the grain and hoping that a Dutch league game stays below the goals line this evening
"At Jens Vesting Stadium, the most recent three league games have all finished 1-0 to the hosts"
Emmen v Almere City
Tottenham 3 Fiorentina 0 in the Europa League last night. We expected a bigger push from the visitors, but in the end it was Spurs who did all of the heavy lifting and got us over the line. Five wins in a row now for the column.
Now we're ready for a quiet night in the Netherlands.
Home and away, Emmen have logged clean sheets in six of their last seven Eerste Divisie games. At Jens Vesting Stadium, the most recent three league games have all finished 1-0 to the hosts and, at a big price, we're punting on another low scorer this evening.
After a frenetic, high-scoring first half of the season, Almere City have slowed down a bit: their last away game finished goalless; they won the one before that 2-0.
With two in-form defences going head to head tonight, we're surprised Under 2.5 Goals is as big as 2.506/4.
Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 2.506/4 in Emmen v Almere City
2016 P/L (1pt per bet)