"Twelve of Maritimo's last 13 Europa League matches have ended with Under 2.5 Goals"
Maritimo are on their way from Portugal to Ukraine, but Tobias Gourlay's not expecting any fireworks
Dynamo Kiev v Maritimo
Thursday 17:45
Not quite a Hammering, perhaps, but West Ham's 2-0 win at Cheltenham maintained our 100% record for the week.
We're putting it on the line in Ukraine this afternoon, because that's where local favourites Dynamo Kiev take on Portugal's Maritimo in the second leg of their Europa League qualifying tie. The first leg finished goalless and we haven't got big hopes for this one either.
Our top-line stat is this: home and away since 2012, 12 of Maritimo's 13 Europa League matches have ended with Under 2.5 Goals. On the road, it's a perfect 6/6 low scorers. A month ago, they hit eastern Europe for a goalless draw at Botev Plovdiv and, after they lost their first Primeira Liga away game of the new campaign 1-0 at the weekend, we like the price on another quiet one this afternoon.
Dynamo have a strong recent home record, winning 5/5 this season across all competitions but, if Maritimo can hold them off early, our odds-against bet might just be another winner.
Recommended Bet
Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 2.021/1 in Dynamo Kiev v Maritimo