Perfomance Index

European Football Tips: United looks attractive in Manchester Derby

  • Published on
Will Jose Mourinho mastermind a win in the Manchester derby?
Will Jose Mourinho mastermind a win in the Manchester derby?

Walter's best bet of the weekend;

Back Manchester United above a fair value of 2.96

With both squads at peak form, this year's Old Trafford edition of the Manchester Derby looks delightful. But Walter Toner believes the loss of Paul Pogba shouldn't be a problem as he brings us his compilation of most compelling value wagers around Europe this weekend...

Germany 2-Bundesliga
Braunschweig v Holstein Kiel
Friday, December 08, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 3.3512/5 Draw 3.412/5 Away 2.0421/20
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.829/5 Draw 3.55/2 Away 2.89/5

Recommended Bet: Back Braunschweig above fair value


Spain Primera-Division
Alaves v Las Palmas
Friday, December 08, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.35/4 Draw 3.211/5 Away 32/1
Fair Value Odds - Home 1.865/6 Draw 3.711/4 Away 5.49/2

Recommended Bet: Back Alaves above fair value


England Premier-League
Crystal Palace v Bournemouth
Saturday, December 09, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 1.9520/21 Draw 3.3512/5 Away 3.7511/4
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.747/4 Draw 3.412/5 Away 2.942/1

Recommended Bet: Back Bournemouth above fair value


France Ligue-1
Toulouse v Caen
Saturday, December 09, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.1411/10 Draw 3.052/1 Away 3.55/2
Fair Value Odds - Home 1.855/6 Draw 3.39/4 Away 6.411/2

Recommended Bet: Back Toulouse above fair value


Austria Bundesliga
Altach v Austria Vienna
Sunday, December 10, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.255/4 Draw 3.412/5 Away 2.915/8
Fair Value Odds - Home 3.412/5 Draw 3.6553/20 Away 2.35/4

Recommended Bet: Back Austria Vienna above fair value


England Premier-League
Manchester United v Manchester City
Sunday, December 10, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 3.211/5 Draw 3.412/5 Away 2.111/10
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.6413/8 Draw 3.55/2 Away 3.02/1

Recommended Bet: Back Manchester United above fair value


France Ligue-1
Nantes v Nice
Sunday, December 10, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 2.111/10 Draw 32/1 Away 3.6553/20
Fair Value Odds - Home 2.8815/8 Draw 3.3512/5 Away 2.8615/8

Recommended Bet: Back Nice above fair value


Netherlands Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam v Vitesse
Sunday, December 10, 2017

Betfair Back Odds - Home 3.39/4 Draw 3.3512/5 Away 2.111/10
Fair Value Odds - Home 5.85/1 Draw 3.953/1 Away 1.758/11

Recommended Bet: Back Vitesse above fair value


Follow Walter and the Performance Index for later games and other selections on Twitter - @PerfIndex


Cumulative P/L (1 pt each bet)

Wagered: 268 pts
Returned: 283.5 pts
Profit: 15.4 pts or 106% ROI

Current (2017-2018) P/L (1 pt each bet)

Wagered: 79 pts
Returned: 64.14 pts
Profit: (14.9) pts or 81% ROI

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Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.

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