Football Bet of the Day: King Keith the key to goals

Goals in Gothenburg

Orgryte v Jonkopings Sodra
Tuesday 18 August, 18:00

We did a Danny DeVito in Sweden last night, in the sense that we just ended up a bit short. Sirius' 2-1 win at Helsingborg left us needing one more goal, but we'll stay in Sweden, and we'll stay on the hunt for goals.

We'll drop down to the second-tier Superettan now, because two in-form teams are locking horns in Gothenburg. Orgryte are up against Jonkopings Sodra, and both have put together decent unbeaten runs.

Orgryte, coached by former Bristol City boss Keith Millen, are unbeaten in five games. It's a run that has propelled them away from the dropzone, and they are now just three points off the top six. The problem they have is that they can't stop leaking goals - their tally of 20 goals conceded in 12 matches is the worst outside the bottom two. As a result, it's no surprise to see that seven of their 12 league games have featured at least three goals, including the last three.

Jonkopings Sodra are unbeaten in six matches, and with 20 goals scored, they have the best attacking record outside the top three. Six of their 12 Superettan games have seen an Over 2.5 Goals bet land, including three of the last four. They have scored at least twice in two-thirds of their second-tier games this term.

You can back Over 2.5 Goals here at 1.865/6, and I think that's a good price.