"Last season's play-off finalists Lincoln are enduring an unexpectedly poor campaign and have slid into the relegation zone."
It's a tip each in League One, Two and the FA Cup this week for the Not The Top 20 Podcast guys, and the treble pays 10/1 on the Betfair Sportsbook...
Oxford to keep Imps in relegation trouble
Lincoln v Oxford
Saturday, 15:00
This is always an interesting fixture given Imps boss Michael Appleton's lasting popularity at Oxford from his successful tenure there as manager yet, although it was he who walked out on the club to pursue opportunities at Leicester, it is the jilted party who comes into this one enjoying better circumstances.
Last season's play-off finalists Lincoln are enduring an unexpectedly poor campaign and have slid into the relegation zone. They have lost three of their last four in the league, not winning since 26th October, and were last seen when throwing away a two-goal lead at home to MK Dons, a position they held only thanks to the generosity of their opponents.
Oxford come here off the back of a good run of performances and results, although they were below their best in the 1-1 draw with struggling Cheltenham on New Years' Day. Influential midfielder James Henry is back for this one and there don't seem to be many issues for Karl Robinson when selecting his strongest teams.
Oxford are 23/20 for this one, which is around the same price that they went off for the 2-1 win at MK Dons just a couple of weeks ago. The money will likely come again for the promotion hopefuls and rightly so given their superiority over the hosts.
Oxford to beat Lincoln @ 23/20
No home comforts for Oldham
Oldham v Sutton
Saturday, 15:00
Home advantage will always be factored into prices, but in this instance you have to wonder whether it should be. Oldham come here off the back of two decent away draws, but given the turmoil that the club finds itself in this will likely be an uncomfortable homecoming for a team whose on-pitch activities are a mere sideshow to the circus that is Abdallah Lemsagam's ownership.
In their last crucial home game against fellow relegation candidates Scunthorpe, Oldham took the lead only to fold in the second half and lose the game 3-1. With many fans boycotting and an understandable unrest among those who do choose to go, there is little advantage to be gained by Oldham playing games at Boundary Park at the moment.
Sutton find themselves in third and genuinely wondering if a promotion bid could be on the cards. They are a consistent side whose general level of performance should see them able to see off their hosts here. While winless in their last three on the road, they have scored five in those and wins at Colchester, Tranmere and Northampton show that they are more than capable travellers.
Sutton to beat Oldham @ 13/10
Dull FA Cup encounter in store
Barnsley v Barrow
Saturday, 15:00
The best bet in the FA Cup 3rd round looks to be opposing goals at Barnsley as they host League Two Barrow. Poya Asbaghi will rightly see this as the opportune moment for him to pick up his first win as manager, but they won't have it all their way against a solid Barrow side.
In his quest to keep Barnsley up, Asbaghi has made them more solid, but with just three goals scored in their last six games it has come at some expense. Despite being in lowly 19th in League Two, Barrow have only conceded 28 goals and it is their own issues in scoring which explain why they are struggling.
Despite the obvious gulf in class, this is a game between two sides for whom scoring goals is a weakness while keeping them out is no trouble. As such U2.5 goals should be favourite, so at pick'em prices that's got to be the play.
Back Under 2.5 goals @ 9/10