Football Tips: Build your weekend acca with our best bets from across Europe

Manchester United manager Ole Gunnar Solskjaer
Ole Gunnar Solskjaer's Man United are well placed to finish second

Charlie Mullan has analysed the data from Europe's top leagues to bring you his best bets to help you build your accas this weekend...

"In the last four league meetings between Man United and Liverpool, under 2.5 total goals has paid out and the data suggests this will be another low-scoring encounter"

Back under 2.5 goals available at 10/11

No frills expected at Old Trafford this time


Under 2.5 goals in Man United v Liverpool at 10/11

The 33 league matches involving Manchester United this season have produced a total of 99 goals. And when you think they have been contested seven goalless draws, that's quite an achievement. Their latest 0-0 draw came at Elland Road last weekend which left the Red Devils 10 points behind their neighbours and current leaders Manchester City with five games remaining.

One of United's seven goalless draws came in the reverse fixture at Anfield on January 17 when Ole Gunnar Solskjaer's side lacked the conviction to score the one and only goal that could have returned three valuable points.

This game is sandwiched in between United's Europa League semi-final ties with Roma and while United take a four-goal lead to Rome next Thursday after winning the home leg 6-2, Solskjaer will not risk anything in this battle with Jurgen Klopp's side.

A win for United will all but guarantee Champions League football next season, and with a five-point lead over third placed Leicester, United know second spot is theirs to lose. Liverpool are fighting to finish in the top four and while it looks unlikely, the champions will do all they can to do so. 

In the last four league meetings, under 2.5 total goals has paid out and the data suggests this will be another low-scoring encounter with under 2.5 goals available at 10/11. 

Lens look to add to Paris St-Germain's woes

Both PSG and Lens to score at 8/11

Paris St-Germain find themselves at a crossroads. After blowing a 1-0 lead at home to Manchester City in their Champions League semi-final, first leg, Mauricio Pochettino's side pressed the self-destruct button to lose 2-1 while having Idrissa Gueye sent off in a second half to forget.

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PSG trail Lille by a point at the top of Ligue 1 and now have to prioritise whether to focus their attention on winning Tuesday's second leg at the Etihad or try to regain control of the league by beating Lens on Saturday.

They will of course target back-to-back wins, but Lens will be sniffing blood after watching Pochettino's side squander a great chance to put one foot in the Champions League final, and with European aspirations of their own, Lens can complete a first league double over PSG since the 2003/04 campaign. 

The bet that stands out in this contest is for both teams to score at 8/11. PSG goalkeeper Keylor Navas looked vulnerable against City and if he gets the nod, Lens will be putting him under pressure at every opportunity.

PSG have failed to keep a clean sheet in eight of their last nine games while this weekend's visitors to the Parc des Princes have scored and conceded in each of their last 12 league and cup games. 

Alaves to extend Eibar's woeful starts

Alaves to score first against Eibar at 6/5

You have to feel for Eibar right now. They are perhaps the worst team in Europe's top five leagues thanks to a winless run of 16 games since beating Granada 2-0 on January 3.

Part of their problem is the frequency in which they concede the first goal. The one and only goal they conceded at home to Real Sociedad on Monday night was the 14th successive La Liga game in which they conceded the opening goal. 

And when they go a goal down, which they have done 19 times in total this season, they have yet to win. Four points from a possible 57 is why they find themselves on the brink of relegation. They can be saved but they have to beat Alaves to give themselves any real hope. 

Alaves are unbeaten in their last four league games and have opened the scoring in the last three. They will be well backed to score the first goal in this fixture at a very generous 6/5. Alaves are unbeaten in 11 of the 12 league games when scoring first including last weekend's trip to Valencia which ended in a 1-1 draw.

Torino to exploit Parma's defensive woes

Over 2.5 goals in Torino v Parma at 1/2

Parma's three-season stay in Serie A looks to be coming to an end after a very disappointing season. Bringing Roberto D'Aversa in to save the club from relegation has not improved their chances of staying up. They are 19th in the table, 11 points from safety and if Cagliari and Torino win, Parma will be playing in Italy's second tier next season. 

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Three points for Torino will boost their chances of staying up and they will fancy their chances considering the number of goals Parma has been conceding in recent weeks. D'Aversa's side have conceded 14 goals in their last four matches and after winning the first meeting 3-0 earlier in the season, confidence will be high within the Torino camp. 

Parma's form in recent matches suggests that this fixture could be high scoring. Each of their last five league games have had four of more total goals scored. Of their last 13 league games, over 2.5 goals, which is available at 1/2, has paid out in 12 of them. With just one defeat in their last five games, Torino will start the contest as favourites.

Shoot-out expected in Sassuolo

Over 2.5 goals in Sassuolo v Atalanta at 4/11

Atalanta have capitalised on AC Milan's capitulation in recent weeks to emerge as the team most likely to finish second to Inter in this season's Serie A. Gian Piero Gasperini's side have taken 19 points from their last seven games and have been beaten just once in their last 13 league contests.

Gasperini's philosophy is based on attack which is why his side are the highest scoring team in the league with 78. With four games left to play, Atalanta have their work cut out to equal last season's total of 98 league goals. 

A repeat of their 5-1 win earlier in the season would certainly help. When Atalanta face Sassuolo, the two sides bring the best out of each other in attack, if not defence. The previous eight meetings have been high-scoring games with 37 total goals scored and over 2.5 goals has landed each time.  

Atalanta have only failed to score in one of their last 16 league games while Sassuolo have scored in 22 of their last 23 Seria A contests. The smart money would be on over 2.5 goals to pay out this weekend at 4/11 given the recent history between these two sides.

Three of Atalanta's last five league games have seen exactly five goals scored while four of Sassuolo's last five Serie A games played at their MAPEI Stadium have produced three or more goals. 

***

The fivefold pays out at just under 1514/1 on the sportsbook (correct at the time of publication)

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