Listen to the Football...Only Bettor podcast and get the team's best bets for this weekend's Premier League, La Liga and more as well insight on the Top Goalscorer and Player of the Year markets...
"The ingredients are all here for a cagey match. I don’t expect many goals. I had under 2.5 goals down at 1.84/5 but you can back it at odd-against, so that’s what I’m doing."
On this week's Football...Only Bettor host Kevin Hatchard and guests Mark O'Haire and Jake Osgathorpe discuss the Champions League final odds and recommend their best bets for this weekend's big games in the Premier League, La Liga and more.
Look out for this week's podcast treble as well as the team's weekend naps and read the summary of their bets below.
Champions League - Man City odds on for '50/50' final
Jake Osgathorpe: City have been really solid this season. Up front, playing without a striker had given them more fluidity. They had problems in the FA Cup against Chelsea, and couldn't break them down, but whether we'll see a repeat of that in the Champions League final remains to be seen.
Mark O'Haire: Under Tuchel, Chelsea look motivated and in tune with their manager's wishes. Their squad is frightening. It should be an interesting final and, with City just about odds-on, I'm happy to be with Chelsea 4.47/2.
Kevin Hatchard: I agree with Mark about Chelsea. I think it's a pretty 50/50 game.
Premier League Top Goalscorer - Salah the bet at the odds
MO: It's remarkable how similar Harry Kane [1.87 ]and Mo Salah's 2.01/1 records are. Both score around 35% of their teams' goals. Liverpool have the easier fixtures remaining whereas Spurs have some awkward one. Based on that, I'd give a slight nod to Salah. If I had to bet it would be on him.
JO: I agree. The difference between Kane and Salah in this market, is the teams they're playing against in the run-in, so if I had to choose one it would be the Liverpool man.
PFA Player of the Year - Dias deserves to beat Fernandes
JO: Ruben Dias' impact on City has been similar to Virgil Van Dijk when he won. At 3.211/5 the City man deserves to be in the running and is worth a bet. Bruno Fernandes 2.0621/20 is a fair favourite his price is too short.
MO: It doesn't always go to a player from the title winners but it usually does. Dias has been the lynchpin for City and they are a better team when he's playing. He would be a deserving winner.
Premier League - This weekend's bets
MO: Spurs are reasonably solid favourites here. Leeds are trying to finish in the top half but they could be missing key players Raphinha and Kalvin Phillips. I wonder if the goal line is too high at three. Eight of Leeds last 13 went under 2.5 goals. At Elland Road they've been mellow. I thought under three goals at 1.834/5 would be a play of interest - stake back if there's three goals and you only lose if there's more.
JO: I think Spurs are too short. We can't trust them and there could be an opportunity for Leeds here. I want them on side. I'm going for Leeds +0.5 on the Asian handicap at 1.910/11.
JO: I'd have City at marginal odds-against. There's a lot to play for as well as being a warm up for the Champions League final. This could be very similar to the FA Cup semi-final which ended 1-0 to Chelsea. These are two very strong defences and we'll see a midfield battle. I'm looking at Both Teams to Score? 'No' at 1.834/5.
MO: I'm opposing goals to and think under 2.5 goals at 1.768/11 is very fair. City don't need to win this match and I expect Pep to make changes. Chelsea, on the other hand, can't afford to lose as they're in the race for the top four.
JO: You never know what you're going to get with Villa, especially when Jack Grealish is absent. United are the kings of away games, better on the road at home defensively. United to win at 1.814/5 is bigger than I expected and I wouldn't be surprised if they do it.
MO: West Ham have been good fun to follow this season while Everton remain unpredictable. Both sides scoring is a bet that often pays out in the Hammers' matches. They have just one clean sheet in 10. So I'm backing both teams to score at 1.834/5.
La Liga - Crucial weekend in the title race
KH: Ahead of this weekend's crunch matches, Barcelona 2.526/4 are favourites to win La Liga, Atletico 3.02/1, Real Madrid have gone out to 3.814/5 and Sevilla are 65.064/1.
MO: Barca are 1.855/6 to win this game but, aside from the Copa del Rey final, they have tended to struggle in big games this season. Both teams are largely injury free. Griezmann is playing well for Barca but they have issues at the back with one clean sheet in seven. Atletico continue to produce the good defensively. Simeone knows how to batten down the hatches in big games and a point would be a good result for Atleti. Under 2.5 goals is a decent price at odds-against.
JO: Luis Suarez is fired up but it's defence that Atletico have been sensational. I am hugely surprised to see under 2.5 goals at odds-against for a game with so much riding on it. Both teams tend to keep it tight in matches against their title rivals. There will be plenty of cards. Stefan Savic to get a card would be one to look at when the market is priced up.
MO: Sevilla are just about still in the title race but I would rule them out. The pressure got to them in their last match against Athletic Bilbao. Real Madrid will also have to pick themselves up after losing to Chelsea. The ingredients are all here for a cagey match. I don't expect many goals. I had under 2.5 goals down at 1.84/5 but you can back it at odd-against, so that's what I'm doing.
JO: It will be low-scoring and attritional. It could finish 1-0 either way. For a bigger price you could use Bet Builder to back under 2.5 goals and Sevilla double chance. I do think Sevilla have the chance to get a draw due to Madrid's fatigue.
Ligue 1, Serie A and Bundesliga
KH: Bayer Leverkusen are too big at 1.875/6 to win at Werder Bremen. Leverkusen will have the pace and quality to trouble a poor Bremen defence.
MO: The key thing here is that Lyon are chasing a top three finish that would get them into the Champions League. But Lyon look short here. Lorient have played good football in recent weeks and have only failed to score once in 19 matches. Both teams to score at 1.748/11 is of real interest.
JO: One of these two teams will probably fail to finish in Italy's top four. Neither has been very impressive throughout the season. They don't keep many clean sheets so I'm looking at both teams to score and over 2.5 goals on the Bet Builder at around 1.910/11.
Weekend NAPs P&L