Manchester City v Manchester United: 9/2 treble chance

• Expect fouls in derby battle at Wembley

• United 6-0 up on card count in 22/23 derbies

• Back bad discipline Bet Builder at 9/2

Manchester City v Manchester United
Saturday 3 June, 15:00
Live on BBC One and ITV1

It's one down, two to go for City in their Treble hunt but the second part of the equation has thrown up a derby of epic proportions.

Clearly United would love to win another trophy, to add to their League Cup from earlier in the season, but to their fans it would probably mean just as much to preserve the club's status as England's sole Treble winners.

A City Treble would undoubtedly tarnish the legacy of United's 1998/99 side in the years going forward - and all Reds know that.

With that in mind, I'm expecting a hard-fought battle of a game with United certainly using everything at their disposal to stop City, who are just 1/41.25 to lift the trophy and 1/21.50 to do so in 90 minutes.

Leg 1: Bruno Fernandes 2+ fouls

So, first into our Bet Builder goes Bruno Fernandes for 2+ fouls.

The United midfielder has landed this in his last six meetings with City and is well known for his petulance.

Losing here won't go down well - expect a foul or two from him if there's aren't going well.

Leg 2: Bernardo Silva 1+ foul

On the other side of the ball, Bernardo Silva gets the nod for 1+ foul.

He's another who can get narky in a heated battle - he's been carded in three of nine league starts against United and also has a good card record in other big games such as the showdown with Liverpool (five in nine competitive starts).

He has card potential in this match at 4/15.00 but instead I'll just make him part of the Bet Builder with the Portuguese having committed a foul in 15 of his last 16 starts.

Leg 3: United most cards

The final leg is for United to have the most cards.

City finished second in the Premier League fair-play table this season, while United were in the bottom six with almost double the number of cards (80-46).

A look back at this season's league derbies shows Erik ten Hag's side winning the card count 3-0 twice, while go back further and they've landed this in four of the last five and six of the last 10 (with two draws).

It's also interesting to note FA Cup final history in this market. It shows the losers (expected to be United) have had most cards in 11 of the last 14 finals.

For the record, the referee is Paul Tierney, who averaged 3.8 yellows per game in this season's Premier League (just above the average) and 20.97 fouls per game (just below the average).

Our Bet Builder pays out at just under 9/25.50 but I realise people may want a bigger price, especially given Betfair's 'bet £5, get £5' BB offer on this game.

So, also worth considering is Ilkay Gundogan for 1+ foul - the German is 4/71.57 to land something that's happened in 12 of his last 16.

And for those who agree with the traders and expect City to win, it's worth noting that 15 of Pep Guardiola's side's last 18 victories have seen them also lead at the interval.

City/City in the HT/FT market here is at odds-against and can be backed in Bet Builders via a combination of the Match and Half Result markets.

Those extras turn the Bet Builder into a 19/120.00 shot.

FA Cup final cheat sheet: All the best bets in one place!