England are safely through to the quarter-finals after topping their group against the odds. Here are the main talking points ahead of their quarter-final with Italy.
The draw
There's always a tendency to get ahead of yourself and try to work out who you will be playing at each stage. Apparently Roy Hodgson was watching the Spain match on Monday night live on TV and now has to watch videos of Italy's game.
The consensus is that England have done well to avoid Spain but personally I don't think there's a huge amount in it. Italy have been better than many would have expected, Spain not quite as good as many expected. They've kept a lot of possession as ever but don't always make the best use of it. Italy are a bit more of an unknown quantity in terms of how they'll play and all in all it was probably a case of being between the devil and the deep blue sea.
England team selection
Ashley Young has perhaps been the biggest disappointment from amongst the England players who have featured. He's been played in the hole and on the left and hasn't really impressed in either position. More worryingly, when played on the left he hasn't defended particularly well and that could be a problem against Italy. In the international game a right-sided player doesn't always appear in conventional positions. At times Young hasn't known who to track and has left Ashley Cole exposed.
Despite that, I think Hodgson will stick with the same XI that won against the Ukraine.
Italy
The loss of Giorgio Chiellini is huge. He's Italy's most experienced defender and the best guy they have in the air. England have scored three goals from headers so far and with him missing, it could be four. Daniele De Rossi will probably fill in for him at the back, having already played the first two matches there. He's done pretty well but I can imagine Wayne Rooney pulling him out of position. De Rossi often finds his way into the referees' notebook as it is and given he'll be playing in a position he's not too accustomed to, I can see him being booked here, a match that is likely to have a few cards anyway.
All eyes on Mario Balotelli. He's made some decent contributions so far but its' anyone's guess whether playing against his Manchester City team-mates will bring out the best or the worst in him.
The Bets
First up, I think this will be a low-scoring match. Italy are more attacking than some might have expected but they're hardly Barcelona. The tendency against both Croatia and Spain was to defend what they had once they went ahead. Old habits die hard.
England are good at the back in general, though they did allow Ukraine more chances than they would have liked. And I don't think there's much between these two on paper. So 0-0 and 1-1 are genuine runners in the correct score market. But the draw is already covered in my next bet to an extent so we'll keep things simple here and just have a play on under 2.5 goals at 1.528/15.
This could go all the way. Harry (Redknapp) has already said as much. But I just have a feeling that Roy is having a little bit of luck just now. Ukraine's goal that never was, Theo Walcott's strike against Sweden that moved in the air. If it came to that, this might just be the time that England finally come out on top in a shoot-out. At odds of 10.09/1 you're not paying a premium to find out.
Back Daniele De Rossi to be shown a card @ 3.39/4
Back under 2.5 goals @ 1.558/15
Back England to win on penalties @ 10.09/1