Euro 2012 Day 11 Tips: Marchisio the man

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Jelavic has been a threat for Croatia

Italy v Ireland
"Marchisio was mightily impressive against Croatia"


Recommended bet
Marchisio to score at 4.03/1

Ed Hawkins casts his eye over the goal markets for the climax in Group C.


Italy v Republic of Ireland
First goalscorer

Irish eyes have not been smiling. Instead, they have been screwed shut. It has been something of a horror show for Giovanni Trapattoni's side as they have made a habit of conceding soft goals.

So a first goalscorer could be quick off the mark. Blink and you might miss it. It is, however, unlikely to be Mario Balotelli. The Manchester City striker has missed training this week with a knee problem and it gives Cesare Prandelli the perfect excuse. He was going to rest him anyway.

In the absence of Balotelli, Antonio Di Natale looks likely to be the main man and he is 5.309/2 for the first goal.

To score
Di Natale, who notched in their opener against Spain, is around 3.002/1 for a goal at any time and although he is one the Irish will need to watch carefully, the real danger man could come from farther back. Claudio Marchisio, who is 4.003/1, was mightily impressive against Croatia and was always breaking late into the box, firing in venomous efforts.

Italy have been one of the most pleasant sides to watch in the tournament and their free attacking game should finally get its rewards against Ireland. Marchisio can help to see to that. He scored nine goals in 36 league apperances for the triumphant Juventus side last season and it is time he added to a tally of only one goal for his country.

Andrea Pirlo, his Juve team-mate schemer, scored a fantastic free kick against Croatia and will always be a threat. He is more of a string puller than a shoot-on-site merchant and is 5.24/1.

Recommended bet
Marchisio to score at 5.004/1


Croatia v Spain
To score
The conspiracy theorists are having a field day. With a 2-2 draw guaranteeing progress for both sides, the mischevious are reckoning that the C in group C stands for carve up. If there is, or if there isn't, goals seem likely in this clash.

It is a quixotic mix. We have Spain's beautiful brand of football versus the more direct approach of Croatia. Of course, we know that Spain's style works rather well with two trophies in their travel bags. But Croatia should not be discounted.

How Spain cope with the muscular and skilful presence of Nikica Jelavic and Mario Mandzukic will be fascinating. Well, that is if Mandzukic plays. He suffered a knock against Italy and is a doubt.

If he is fit, it is worth bearing in mind that he has had only four shots on target in the championships. And scored three times.

Were he to miss out, Luka Modric would suddenly leap from the coupon. Against Italy when Croatia reshuffled after Mandzukic was subbed, they switched to a 4-2-3-1 with Modric playing in an advanced role. Mandzukic is 3.8014/5 and Modric 5.509/2.

Fernando Torres is skinny indeed at 2.3211/8. he scored twice against Ireland and many dullards pronounced 'he's back to his best'. Really? two goals against a Championship-style defence and suddenly he is worth those inflated sums once more? Not likely. As one commentator announced 'Torres will be back to his best when people stop saying "he's back to his best"'.

Andres Iniesta is 3.259/4. Before yesterday's matches he had had eight shots goal. This was the joint-most without actually scoring. Could he make it ninth-time lucky?


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