Midweek League One Tips: Robinson's Oxford could be blunted by underrated Accrington

Wigan could be up to the task against Wednesday

Sheffield Wednesday v Wigan Athletic
Tuesday 8th February, kick-off 19:45

Following a slightly sticky spell, Sheffield Wednesday have weathered the storm and head into Tuesday's huge game at Hillsborough with three successive victories. It wasn't quite clicking for Darren Moore's side despite the huge investment, but they are poised now for a promotion push and are just three points behind sixth-placed Wycombe.

The Owls are now 1.75/7 for a Top Six Finish and 3.929/10 in the Promotion market. Teams can often kick on from Christmas, and while I have been critical at certain teams as players have often been utilised out of position, the defence seems steady and sorted and they bagged another clean sheet on Saturday when beating Burton 2-0.

Wigan will provide stern opponents on Tuesday night, not only are they chasing the tail of league leaders Rotherham (six points behind), but they are the best travellers in the third tier with 10 wins and the second best in terms of goals scored (29). Only the MK Dons have scored more on the road.

Wednesday didn't create an awful lot against the Brewers on Saturday, in a bitty, scrappy game. One of their goals came from a set-piece, and the second came as Burton chased a little in search of an equaliser. Marvin Johnson's crossing was praised, and considering their ever-growing injury list (they were missing 10 players on Saturday), it was the sort of battling display the Owls needed.

Leam Richardson's Latics lost out to Stoke in Saturday's FA Cup, but they are unbeaten in 12. In fact, they have lost just twice in their last 25 and surely look too big at 3.211/5?

In December they produced a stunning 2-3 success at Oxford, with Richardson citing their excellent organisation and fitness skills. They do have big players that can produce moments of quality to settle matches, and in James McClean they certainly have a match-winner.

The hosts to keep a Clean Sheet is 2.915/8, and that's not a bad price considering their three successive clean sheets allied with the best home defensive record, but Wigan possess a real threat going forward. Both are decent out of possession, but Wigan look good for a Draw No Bet.

Can Stanley hold out against Oxford?

Accrington Stanley v Oxford United
Tuesday 8th February, kick-off 19:45

Oxford are back in play-off contention thanks to Saturday's 3-2 win against Portsmouth. A last-minute Nathan Holland moment of magic garnered the three points, and the U's had an astonishing 75% of the ball in that game.

With the amount of possession they have , they can sometimes frustrate, but when they are good, they can blow teams away. That's now 14 goals in their last four matches, and one of those was a 2-7 at Gillingham. Their xG numbers perhaps should be higher, even though they check in at a respectable 1.72 overall, which is third behind Sunderland and Rotherham.

New signing Sam Baldock was a recent capture until the end of the season, and he's a former Golden Boot winner in the division. When he does slot into the side, they do have goals.

And that's the angle here, and I am a little surprised the Over 2.5 Goals can be backed a 1.910/11, although Accrington have drawn their last three at home 1-1, 1-1 and 2-2, and the Both Teams To Score could be the way to go. That trades at 1.804/5, which is a more suitable bet, as while Oxford can be hot at times, they have only won five on the road and Stanley are a fairly solid unit at the Wham. They have seven wins.

Indeed, they were the team that ended Rotherham's 21-game unbeaten record on Boxing Day and gave the Millers another scare on Saturday when losing 1-0 at the New York, but they forced Paul Warne's team to defend, especially in the latter stages and had them pinned back, and even missed a penalty with a chance to equalise. Stanley boss John Coleman said: "It was a classic away performance. In the second half we gave everything we've got. We tested their keeper and hit the post late on. We didn't deserve to lose the game, but we have."

With a home xG of 1.67, they are underrated in the betting at 3.052/1, but they have drawn four times at home and it could be worth playing that again.

Millers to maintain their grip on the title charge

AFC Wimbledon v Rotherham United
Tuesday 8th February, kick-off 19:45

A weekend of shocks involving League One teams. Plymouth in the FA Cup done the third tier proud by holding Chelsea to 1-1 in 90 minutes, although I cannot remember the last time a team that were at home and traded at 1.101/10 to 1.081/12 didn't win. It doesn't happen often, but layers wait for those sort of prices to come in. Even when Plymouth scored, the Blues were 1.201/5.

Elsewhere, Sunderland lost at the Stadium Of Light to Doncaster, described in the local press as a dire defeat. Sunderland were 1.331/3 and rightly so, as Doncaster have been awful on the road, really awful.

Rotherham it seems are infallible to such shocks. The blip on Boxing Day ended their unbeaten run, but since then they have peeled off five wins and have truly cemented their position at the top of the tree. Promotion beckons. I hope so, as my ante-post selection at 15.014/1, they are now as short as 1.784/5 in the Winner market.

The bedrock of their success, especially away from home is their astonishing record of conceding just five goals. Nine clean sheets is included in that on the road, and we have to base bets on this for Tuesday night. The Rotherham Clean Sheet 'Yes' at 2.226/5 should be looked at, so too, the Win To Nil market at 2.6813/8. They've won their last two 0-2 and 0-5, and should be able to justify their 1.664/6 price.

In fact, they are the identikit xG team. Away from home they are just 1.14 xGA on the process, which is the best in the division. Their xG away from the New York is the most superior too at 1.9xG.