Midweek League One Betting Tips: Expect plenty of draws on Tuesday

Karl Robinson
Karl Robinson's Oxford earned a point at Ipswich on Saturday

Alan picked up two winners out of three on Saturday and returns with three draw selections to consider for Tuesday's round of matches in League One....

"Since then the U's earned a point at Ipswich on Saturday in a match where the two just cancelled each other out, although Ipswich were restricted to just one shot on target."

Back the Draw @ 3.39/4 Oxford United v Portsmouth

Stick with Dons again to set up draw punt

Shrewsbury Town v MK Dons
Tuesday 23rd February, kick-off 19:00

The MK Dons continue to serve the column with great distinction, and I have really performed a U-turn on them since the start of the season. They collected another three points on Saturday when beating Northampton 4-3, and thankfully the two late goals went for us.

It was a bizarre affair, as Russell Martin's team got sucked into a long ball game against their more aggressive opponents, and that never suits them. Their defending was poor and once again they conceded an early goal, so it sounded like a bit of a fluke. Indeed, Martin, who has been linked with the Bristol City job commented afterwards that after watching that, he won't be linked anywhere.

He's a good guy is Martin.

Shrewsbury have gained some decent wins of late and probably will have enough to be safe under Steve Cotterill - who has done a fine job since taking over. They recently beat Sunderland 2-1 on their own patch and also have seen off Peterborough and Blackpool, but this is a tricky market.

The hosts are 2.8415/8 with the Dons and their excellent form shading favouritism at 2.747/4. With the market split as it is, and Shrewsbury's record of five draws this term, I want to side with the outright draw bet here at 3.259/4.

Both teams can take a scrappy point at Plough Lane

AFC Wimbledon v Gillingham
Tuesday 23rd February, kick-off 18:30

Wimbledon haven't been in a great trot for a while now and have been dragged down to the foot of the table in a relegation battle with just 25 points - three ahead of bottom club Burton.

They have their new stadium at Plough Lane, although they have hardly been there of late with a run of six out of their last seven games on the road. Matches incidentally they have been conceding a lot of goals in. Eight in three in fact.

At times like these, you end up playing not to lose and happy to take a point. This won't be especially pretty either as Gillingham aren't exactly a free-flowing side.

The Kent club have claimed some notable scalps recently away from home, with successes against Charlton and Accrington - both far superior to Wimbledon. But the market hasn't missed them here at a price of 2.829/5.

Manager Steve Evans must have been pleased with the tactical switch in the second half on Saturday, when beating Bristol Rovers 2-0. But it was a scrappy game and Rovers had chances. This will be a scrappy one too I envisage and am happy playing the draw again at the biggest price of 3.3512/5.

Back the third draw for the evening

Oxford United v Portsmouth
Tuesday 23rd February, kick-off 19:00

We're a bit draw happy for the column on Tuesday, and all the games are identical markets. Oxford at 2.727/4 and Pompey at 2.727/4 points us to the draw again and there wasn't a lot to split the pair over the course of the two games in the play-offs last season.

Oxford struggled to break Kenny Jackett's team down back then, and it could be similar scenario for the form team in League One.

Indeed, that astonishing run of nine wins on the spin for Oxford came to a halt recently, and such is nature of the dizzying fixture list at the moment, it only seems like yesterday but was five games ago.

Since then the U's earned a point at Ipswich on Saturday in a match where the two just cancelled each other out, although Ipswich were restricted to just one shot on target.

Portsmouth are fifth and need to address recent losses, and surprises losses too against Blackpool and Bristol Rovers, but they have been good on the road overall this term with very few goals conceded. Both are strong defensively 11 goals at home and 11 away for the respective pair, which obviously brings into play the Under 2.5 bet.

Alan Dudman's P&L

League One 2020/21: -2.66pts
FA Cup 2020/21 (1pt): +12.42pts
2017/18 to 2019-2020: +42.24pts

*League One bets to a 0.5pt stake

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