EFL League One & League Two

League Two Tips: Back Orient for a point at Walsall

  • Ian Lamont
  • Published on
  • Updated on
  • 4:00 min read
Michael Flynn the Walsall manager
Michael Flynn's Walsall are not to be underestimated

Walsall are capable of finding form again against the leaders, says Ian Lamont, who lays Mansfield and believes Colchester can land a win at a big price...

  • Cup kings Grimsby could falter

  • Robins need to roost at home

  • Gillingham present a real test


Leaders could be Saddle-d with a draw

Walsall 2.68/5 v Leyton Orient 3.211/5; the draw 3.39/4

To what extent have Leyton Orient recovered their mojo by beating AFC Wimbledon on Saturday then Crewe on Tuesday? Sounds like a "form an argument" question for an Oxbridge entrance exam, designed to tax a brain and conclude anything they like. So here goes.

My simple answer is, don't bet the bank on them winning at Walsall. They might have set a club record of nine successive clean sheet at home, but Richie Wellens' men had not scored in their past four away games until Tuesday's 2-0 win. Crewe are no great shakes and I don't set too much stall by midweek results.

The Orient have only scored four goals in nine matches, Theo Archibald and George Moncur both giving them 1-0 victories before Tuesday (Archibald again, plus Ed Turns).

Bolton loanee Kieran Sadlier, plus Aaron Drinan and Ruel Sotiriou were among those who had chances to double the lead against the Dons last weekend. Competition for places after a January influx should spur them to promotion, or even maintain their position at the top.

However, Walsall are not the easiest opposition to overcome. Yet after a great run of five wins and a draw from six, they might have faltered a little. Salford unpicked them for a 1-0 win, while Northampton couldn't find a way past the defence and Tranmere, too, were held to a draw.

But Bradford's Yann Songo'o and, in particular, Forest Green strike duo Matty Stevens and Jamille Matt are very interesting additions by Michael Flynn.

Now that the Saddlers are out of the FA Cup, Flynn's mission is to inspire a rise in the table. The middle section is so bunched that there are just four points between Walsall and Tranmere in 13th and 14th and Stockport in the final playoff berth of seventh.

Walsall have seven wins at home. Flynn is eager to build a "run of victories". Tom Knowles, a left-sided player, is happy to be Mr Versatile and fill in at right wing-back. It is that sort of team mentality that can earn Walsall points.

The hosts, who Opta point out have not scored in their last two games, are capable of rekindling their form from the back end of 2022. But even if they can't find many goals, their defence can be mean enough. Two mean defences could result in a draw.

Back Walsall and Leyton Orient to draw @

3.3

Stags too short as Gills are going great guns

Mansfield 1.910/11 v Gillingham 3.929/10; the draw 3.613/5

Gillingham, under new ownership, have been on a fine run that shouldn't necessarily end at Mansfield, who seem too short in the circumstances.

The visitors might have only scored once to beat Crawley last weekend, but they earned their third clean sheet in four games. They scored at least twice in the other three matches. Tim Dieng, Tom Nichols, Oli Hawkins and others seem to have fitted in just nicely. Neil Harris now eyeing mid-table safety as quickly as possible.

Hawkins and George Lapslie have an early chance to put their recent employers to the sword on a pitch they will know well.

For the hosts, Danny Johnson is keen to make his mark again (having scored 15 goals on loan at Walsall) but three Stags picked up medium term injuries in the 1-1 draw with Bradford. Newcomers Louis Reed and Callum Johnson plus regular scorer Rhys Oates all went off before half-time.

Alfie Gilmour did manage to secure them a point very late in the game, but the price on the home win seems too short in the circumstances. Nigel Clough's side have conceded at least once in each of their last seven games. That has to give any opposition hope of a positive result, especially one keen to bounce away from near the bottom of the table. I'm going the Betfair way on the hosts and laying them.

Lay Mansfield against Gillingham @

1.8

Colchester could bring down tired Mariners

Grimsby 2.1411/10 v Colchester 4.03/1; the draw 3.55/2

Grimsby, I feel, are another side who are too short a price this weekend - because of their wonderful FA Cup exploits. They have only won three home games in League Two (and drawn five) but I don't think the layers have factored in the fatigue and anti-climax that will come in the days after securing a Fifth Round place, having seen off Luton Town.

Sport timetables can be relentless, unforgiving and tiring - especially emotionally. Maybe any of the Mariners' new recruits who were cup tied will get a chance now, but Harry Clifton can't score in every game like it seems he has done recently to reach six goals.

Colchester have scored in seven of their last eight matches, on the flip side only keeping two clean sheets. Junior Tchamadeu would love another to add to recent strikes, while I seem to remember remarking that defender Faicre Kelleher hadn't been signed to score goals, yet he has netted twice in the past three matches. Frank Nouble and Freddie Sears, on whom they relied in the early part of the season, have been relegated to the bench.

There is a more youthful look to Matt Bloomfield's men, who seem to have more about them than they did in the early autumn.

Given all the circumstances, I am prepared to risk that they might win at a big price. They have, afterall, won their last four away, as Opta point out. Bagging a fifth would match something last achieved in 1987.

Back Colchester to win at Grimsby @

4.0

Swindon must make home comforts count

Swindon 2.111/10 v Doncaster 3.929/10; the draw 3.814/5

Opta point out that Swindon have won just one of their last six home games, something which seems at odds with their potential and their league position - seventh. Mind you, League Two is such a topsy turvy division that a team in 14th could put together a string of wins and find themselves in the play-off positions. Could Doncaster do that? Opta assert that they have lost their last three away - and haven't lost four in a row on their travels since 1998 (five). This could be the match!

Swindon ticked over after the surprise abdication by Scott Lindsey to Crawley. Jody Morris couldn't start his reign with a win, instead being left to rant that Rushian Hepburn-Murphy was hard done by for a red card after a touchline altercation. Substitute Tomi Adeloye eventually gave the Robins some hope with a last-minute goal, but Morris has to hope the County Ground crowd inspire his side.

They've gt the talent in various guises including Charlie Austin but need to start showing they are serious about a top seven finish.

Rovers bagged a third win in six on Tuesday at home to Tranmere, Ben Close and Kyle Hurst obliging with goals that have been far too much of a rarity this season. It is 11 games since top scorer George Miller notched the last of his nine. He might seem due a goal, but Swindon are due a home win.

Back Swindon to beat Doncaster @

2.1

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