EFL League One & League Two Tips: Go with goals with Fergie again in 14/1 acca

• Posh can get on the mark early again

• Rhodes appeals to net @ 7/52.40

• Alan Dudman has 8/19.00 and 14/115.00 EFL accas

League One

Leg 1: Charlton Athletic v Peterborough United, Saturday 15:00: Back BTTS

Charlton are without a League One victory in seven, and in that run we have witnessed four draws. The outright back of the draw is a possibility, but the hosts are a side I can never trust. They have however been involved in a high percentage of BTTS game in that run - six in fact.

So it's no surprise to see the BTTS at around 1/21.50 on the Sportsbook.

Peterborough are unbeaten in five league visits to Charlton (W3 D2), keeping a clean sheet in three of these and this term have seven road victories with just 16 conceded.

They have also been involved in a few high-scorers of late, including the recent Sky game and their brilliant 2-3 win at Derby - a game where they dominated the ball completely. Two goals came in the first 10 minutes on that occasion.

KEY OPTA STAT: Charlton are winless in 12 league meetings with Peterborough (D5 L7) since a 2-0 victory in November 2012.

Leg 2: Blackpool v Exeter City, Saturday 15:00: Back Jordan Rhodes Anytime Goalscorer

Blackpool have scored 30 goals at home this season and that's an angle in for the weekend as Jordan Rhodes appeals to get on the scoresheet at 7/52.40.

Neil Critchley's side are entertaining and were tremendous in their 2-2 at the City Ground against Forest in the FA Cup, and with their 2-0 home win against Lincoln on New Year's Day, they put right a few wrongs over Christmas.

Blackpool have won the most points on home soil in League One this season (29 - W9 D2 L3), winning their last three at Bloomfield Road. They haven't had a longer home winning run since between April and September 2017 (six in a row).

KEY OPTA STAT: Exeter City have scored just 18 League One goals this season, ahead only of Shrewsbury Town in the division (17). They are underperforming their expected goals by 10.5 goals (28.5 xG), the biggest underperformance of any League One side.

Leg 3: Bolton v Cheltenham, Saturday 15:00: Back Bolton -2

We've got a big price at 3/14.00 for Bolton to cover the two goal handicap, and I am happy to take that bet considering Cheltenham barely score a goal away from home.

Crunching the xG numbers; the Robins have an xG away of just 0.90, and considering Bolton are a top three team at the moment, this looks a game Bolton should easily take the points in.

The hosts have won the most games in League One this season (16) - it is their most wins after 24 league games in a season since the 1934-35 campaign (17).

KEY OPTA STAT: After failing to score in their first 11 league games in 2023-24, Cheltenham Town have scored in all but one of their last 14 games. In this timeframe (October 7 onwards), only four teams have scored in more different League One games than the Robins (13).

League Two

Leg 1: Tranmere Rovers v MK Dons, Saturday 15:00: Back Tranmere

MK Dons' defeat at Doncaster last time out ended a nine-game unbeaten league run. They last lost back-to-back league matches in April last season, and I was hugely disappointed with that tame effort as Donny are far from a good side.

This is much tougher and Tranmere are the form side at the moment in League Two under Nigel Adkins. There was no shame in losing 1-0 at Barrow recently, but previously Rovers had won four on the spin scoring 13 goals.

They didn't have too many chances at Barrow last Saturday, but Barrow are miserly at home, and with the Dons conceding more than they have scored on the road, Tranmere should justify their price of 13/82.63, and I think they should be shorter.

KEY OPTA STAT: MK Dons have lost on each of their last two visits to Prenton Park, they have never lost three on the bounce away to the Merseyside outfit.

Leg 2: Stockport County v Walsall, Saturday 15:00: Back Stockport HT/FT

Having failed to score in just two of their first 24 League Two games this season, league-leaders Stockport have now failed to score in their last two (D1 L1), which is somewhat of a surprising stat for the best team in the division.

I am taking a view that some of the results over Christmas were just plain strange, with consistent sides losing and vica versa.

Still two points ahead of Mansfield, the Hatters have netted 30 times at home and conceded just 10 this season, so a couple of games do not make them a bad side overnight. At 13/82.63 to win both HT and FT, that is worth the bet considering they are so short on the outright.

KEY OPTA STAT: Walsall have won five of their last six league games (L1), including the last three in a row. They last won four consecutively in December 2020.

Leg 3: Crewe v Swindon Town, Saturday 15:00: Back BTTS

Crewe usually are good for a goal but it's their xA figure at 1.57 that brings the BTTS bet here into play, although rather unusually for the Alex, their last three games have all been Under 2.5 Goals.

Swindon have lost each of their last three away league games, last losing four in a row in April 2021. Having picked up six points from their first four away league games this term (W1 D3), they've now earned just five from their last 10 (W1 D2 L7).

The visitors have conceded five in two games and have shipped a massive 33 goals in on the road - one of the worst in the division.

KEY OPTA STAT: After losing four consecutive league matches against Swindon Town between 2015 and 2018, Crewe Alexandra have since lost just two of their last nine against the Robins (W6 D1), winning two of their last three (D1).

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