The Editors' Premier League Betting Battle 2018/19: Round Five
The Premier League is back and so are the BB editorial crew with their best bets for week five of this year's battle.
"Zaha's importance to this Eagles side cannot be understated then, he is undoubtedly their talisman, their top goalscorer, and the man who makes them perform at their best. The good news is that he is fully expected to return to Palace's starting line-up on Saturday and for that reason I'm backing an away win."
Zaha the key to Eagles victory
Back Crystal Palace @ [2.52] to beat Huddersfield
Since the start of last season Crystal Palace have started 11 Premier League games without Wilfried Zaha. Incredibly they have lost every single of them and scored a miserly four goals.
Palace started this season with a win and two defeats from their opening three games, but there was an element of bad luck in both their defeats and they looked a very decent outfit with Zaha not surprisingly pulling the strings. Before the international break Roy Hodgson's men faced Southampton without Zaha, and lost at home without scoring.
Zaha's importance to this Eagles side cannot be understated then, he is undoubtedly their talisman, their top goalscorer, and the man who makes them perform at their best. The good news is that he is fully expected to return to Palace's starting line-up on Saturday and for that reason I'm backing an away win.
Huddersfield are yet to win this term and haven't scored a single goal in their two home matches to date. They conceded six at Man City and three at home to Chelsea, and while they did very well to take a point from Goodison Park last time I can't see them getting the better of a good Crystal Palace side with Zaha fresh back from his minor groin injury.
Mike Norman 2017-18 P/L: +£12.80
Back another Saints-Brighton stalemate
Back the draw in Southampton v Brighton @ [3.35]
Well, it's been a while but it's time to give Dyer's Draws an airing!
Southampton meet Brighton on Monday night in what is likely to be a Monday night snooze-athon with goals at a premium.
Saints are not exactly lighting up the league under Mark Hughes - there's a nice symmetry to their record of four points from four games and four goals scored but it doesn't scream red-hot football - while Brighton have never been the top-flight's most entertaining outfit. Yes, two of the Seagulls' games this year have been heavy on the goals - a 3-2 defeat of Manchester United and a 2-2 draw with Fulham - but I'm expecting them to revert to their standard parsimonious selves soon.
And Monday night looks like being that time.
Southampton have scored once in two home games, Brighton are without a goal on the road so far, and I expect defences to come out on top in this encounter.
Both games finished 1-1 in the league last year and an EFL cup fixture last month was decided by a solitary goal scored in the 88th minute. These two look closely matched and I'm prepared to five the stalemate a run at [3.35].
Joe Dyer 2017-18 P/L: +£4.80
No matter where Arsenal go, goals will follow
Back over 3.5 goals in Newcastle v Arsenal @ [2.92]
Different manager, same problems, seems to be Arsenal's mantra. A team that look so bad defensively that in their last game, against a promoted side who couldn't muster a goal in their opening three games, managed to score twice.
Let's look at at their opening four fixtures. Obviously games against Manchester City and Chelsea are harder but conceded twice and thrice respectively. They then went 1-0 down against West Ham, at home too. And then of course their game against Cardiff, totalling eight goals let in.
At least with two wins in a row, it's fair to say their attack is fairly strong, not only have they conceded eight but they've also scored eight in their four games too. Aubameyang and Lacazette both netted in their last game, and what's strong in the Gunners' side is that these goals have had different scorers from all over the pitch. They're not relying on one man to do it for them.
So the goals should definitely come, like they used to in the 2010-2012 era where we had scorelines of 7-3 and 4-4. Who will be letting them in though? Probably both.
Jasmine Baba 2017-18 P/L: +£0.80
Watford can expose United's frailties
Back Watford Win/Draw @ [2.0] v Manchester United
Live on BT Sport
Watford have taken everyone off-guard this season with their blistering start, four wins on the bounce including Spurs at home and the always tricky Burnley away. Javi Gracia seems to have been able to pick-up the form that we saw briefly under Marco Silva last year before his head was turned and they unfortunately tailed off, but they'll certainly be looking to continue their streak and conquer another 'big team'.
Manchester United picked up a win last week fairly comfortably against winless Burnley but I'm still not convinced that Mourinho has won back the dressing room and the international break won't have done them many favours for momentum. They've been shaky at the back all season and Troy Deeney is always a handful, especially in front of a home crowd, so expect him to create a few problems for the visitors.
Expect it to be a tight affair, but I think the form of Watford and the fragility of Man Utd will be enough to stop the Red Devils.
Harry Phillips 2017-18 P/L: -£17.80
Everton to pile on the misery for Hammers
Back Everton to beat West Ham at [2.14]
Live on Sky Sports Main Event
It's been a terrible start to the season. For both me in the Battle and Manuel Pellegrini at West Ham. But I've not given myself a vote of confidence yet and I'm hoping to get my campaign going at the Hammers' expense.
I know Everton have a long injury list and were held by lowly Huddersfield last time out at Goodison but better than 11/10 to beat an abject looking West Ham is too good to turn down.
Pellegrini's men have been thumped at Liverpool and Arsenal on their travels so far this season while that injury time defeat to Wolves last time out at the London Stadium will have done nothing for their confidence.
Marco Silva's men have been unfortunate not to pick up more points this season - the draws against Wolves and Bournemouth could easily have been wins - while the historical stats are in our favour. Opta tell us the Toffees have only lost two of their last 20 Premier League encounters with West Ham (W12 D6), with the Hammers winning just one of their last 11 Premier League trips to Goodison.
Dan Thomas 2017-18 P/L: -£40.00
For individual match previews of every single Premier League game visit our dedicated Premier League section here on Betting.Betfair.
The Editors' 2018/19 P/L:
1. Mike Norman +£12.80
2. Joe Dyer +£4.80
3. Jasmine Baba +£0.80
4. Harry Phillips -£17.80
5. Dan Thomas -£40.00
Mike Norman: Back Crystal Palace @ [2.52] to beat Huddersfield
Jasmine Baba: Back over 3.5 goals in Newcastle v Arsenal @ [2.92]
Joe Dyer: Back the draw in Southampton v Brighton @ [3.35]
Harry Phillips: Back Watford Win/Draw @ [2.0] v Manchester United
Dan Thomas: Back Everton to beat West Ham at [2.14]