-
Rely on Chelsea matches for goals
-
United to sign off at Old Trafford with a high-scoring game
-
Juventus to salvage their season
Betfair Superboost at Old Trafford
Since the turn of the year, Erik Ten Hag's side are facing, on average, 20.5 shots per game in the Premier League.
Arsenal (11) are the only side within their last 19 Premier League games not to hit the 16 mark, with Palace (18), Burnley (16), Chelsea (28) and Brentford (31) all firing shots at will in recent weeks against Man Utd.
Indeed, in the reverse fixture between the two earlier this season - a 1-0 win for Newcastle - the Magpies managed 22 attempts that day too.
You can back Eddie Howe's men to hit 16 or more in tonight's match at Old Trafford at the Superboost price of 1/12.00.
Back Newcastle to have 16+ shots v Man Utd (Man Utd have conceded 20.5 shots on average in 2024)
Brighton will be disappointed with the second half of their campaign, as they still have work to do to finish in the top 10. They have this game in hand, in which a victory would secure it, but they need at least four points from their final two outings to have a chance of catching West Ham for ninth.
It has been the opposite way around for Chelsea, as their finish to the season has been strong, and they currently sit in seventh place - level on points with Newcastle. Both they and the Magpies have two matches left, and if the Blues can make the top six, it would be a decent achievement for Mauricio Pochettino's men.
My angle at the Amex this evening is for goals, as Chelsea currently top the charts when it comes to that statistic in the Premier League this season. Over half (58%) of their outings have seen this selection land, and 13 of their 21 that have finished with four goals or more, have come from their last 15 fixtures.
The Seagulls have struggled to put the ball in the net of late, but they will be given chances against this Chelsea defence, and they have still had a 42% of matches this year reward Over 3.5 backers.
There is one other team who are joint top when it comes to Over 3.5 goals landing this season, and that is Newcastle, who also have a 58% success rate.
A 1-1 draw against Brighton last time kept them ahead of Chelsea on goal difference, but they will view this trip to Old Trafford as a good opportunity to pick up maximum points.
This is United's final home fixture of a miserable campaign, and the odds are that it will be Erik ten Hag's final appearance at the Theatre of Dreams.
They still have an FA Cup Final to think of, and from the evidence available, it would appear that the players are concentrating solely on preparing for that.
The visitors are very dangerous in attack, but the hosts are also capable of being threatening in front of goal, and this could end up being quite entertaining.
Stadio Olimpico hosts the Coppa Italia Final tonight, and despite being in worse form, I am taking Juventus to beat Atalanta inside of normal time.
My thought process here is that Atalanta have had a very congested fixture list lately, as not only have they progressed in this competition, they have made it through to the final of the Europa League.
Since the beginning of April they have played 12 matches, compared to Juventus' eight, and while they have been winning plenty of those, tired legs will surely start playing their part soon.
The Old Lady had looked like potential title contenders earlier in the season, but the wheels have fallen off for Massimiliano Allegri's team in recent months, and they are currently winless in six - although five of them were draws.
On balance, the 7/42.75 for a Juventus victory is just too tempting to refuse.
Back Over 3.5 Goals in both Brighton v Chelsea & Man United v Newcastle, and Juventus to Win